Result
1:1
24/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Round 4
- Referee: Hajizadeh A. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (349/439) | 71% (203/287) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (349/439) | 71% (203/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (16/53) | 33% (17/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (69/101) | 55% (53/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Obileye A. ↓, Ojala J. ↑,
- 41', Ojala J. 🟨,
- 45', Latonen J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Vauhkonen E. 🟨,
- 55', Hannula O. 🟨,
- 55', Ylatupa S. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
- 56', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
- 59', Zaal T. 🟨,
- 59', Konkkola M. 🟨,
- 70', 0 - 1, Akinyemi A. ⚽, Craninx A. (A),
- 74', Ivanovic L. ↓, Kauppila M. ↑,
- 74', Juvanteny P. ↓, Karkulowski T. ↑,
- 75', Haggstrom O. ↓, Ikonen L. ↑,
- 76', Latonen J. ↓, Eremenko S. ↑,
- 76', Hannula O. ↓, Bjurstrom M. H. ↑,
- 80', Arko-Mensah E. 🟨,
- 85', Europaeus G. 🟨,
- 89', Sihvonen A. ↓, Anini S. ↑,
- 90', Jouhi A. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Anini S. ⚽, Zaal T. (A),
Chances of winning
TPS
40.6% | Draw
26.9% | Gnistan
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
TPS - Gnistan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.21) |
3.54 ↓
(3.76) |
2.86 ↓
(2.94) |
6.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for TPS - Gnistan?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - TPS (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
TPS will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. TPS (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 2.
- TPS has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Gnistan is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- TPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Bashkirov E.
(Inactive)
Launiala K.
(Inactive)
Lyberopoulos O.
(Inactive)
von Hellens L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, TPS won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Gnistan?
TPS has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against TPS?
Gnistan has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - Gnistan were as follows:
14.02.2026
TPS
-
Gnistan
0:2
16.03.2024
TPS
-
Gnistan
2:0
17.09.2023
Gnistan
-
TPS
2:0
23.07.2023
Gnistan
-
TPS
0:3
13.05.2023
TPS
-
Gnistan
0:2
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | AC Oulu | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | HJK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | TPS | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Lahti | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | VPS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | SJK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Jaro | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Mariehamn | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 | Ilves | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
