Harrogate Town vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 35
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.061.12
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
51
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
95
Passes
81% (379/467)71% (237/332)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
1.061.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.960.86
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
86
Shots inside the box
95
Shots outside the box
126
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
128
Passes
81% (379/467)71% (237/332)
Long passes
54% (43/80)35% (24/69)
Passes in final third
69% (87/126)51% (53/104)
Crosses
19% (5/26)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.97
Throw ins
2315
Fouls
812
Tackles
63% (12/19)59% (13/22)
Duels won
6356
Clearances
2838
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
04
xGOT faced
0.861.96
Goals prevented
-0.140.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 1, Hutchinson I. , Bickerstaff J. (A),
  • 50', 1 - 1, Heffernan C. , Smith R. (A),
  • 65', Ashfield H. , Young L. ,
  • 68', Deeming C. , Broom R. ,
  • 68', Smith R. , Duke-McKenna S. ,
  • 74', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
  • 82', Miller G. , Davison J. ,
  • 86', Headman C. , Faulkner B. ,
  • 86', Acquah E. , Bennett M. ,
  • 90+2', Young L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Harrogate Town
38.2%
Draw
28.8%
Cheltenham Town
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 27.8% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 27.3% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.5)
    3.25
    (3.25)
    2.83
    (2.5)
    6.7%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Harrogate (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cheltenham (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 19).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M. (Inactive) Bradbury T. (Injury) Cass L. (Inactive) Duke-McKenna S. (Injury) Fox B. (Inactive) Hill T. (Injury) McCoulsky S. (Inactive) Oxley M. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: King T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town 1:1
    17.01.2025 Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town 2:0
    07.09.2024 Cheltenham Town - Harrogate Town 1:0
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley341911458:352368
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Crewe351681152:411156
    7Salford331741246:43355
    8Chesterfield341314752:44853
    9Barnet3514111044:37753
    10Walsall331581042:36653
    11Grimsby331410946:37952
    12Colchester3313101048:351349
    13Accrington341371437:36146
    14Oldham321112936:30645
    15Fleetwood331291243:42145
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere34981746:59-1335
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Barrow33762033:51-1827
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport34672132:60-2825

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League