Result
1:1
27/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 35
- Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (379/467) | 71% (237/332) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (379/467) | 71% (237/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (43/80) | 35% (24/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (87/126) | 51% (53/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 0 - 1, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Bickerstaff J. (A),
- 50', 1 - 1, Heffernan C. ⚽, Smith R. (A),
- 65', Ashfield H. ↓, Young L. ↑,
- 68', Deeming C. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
- 68', Smith R. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
- 74', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
- 82', Miller G. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
- 86', Headman C. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
- 86', Acquah E. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
- 90+2', Young L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town
38.2% | Draw
28.8% | Cheltenham Town
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.5) |
3.25
(3.25) |
2.83 ↑
(2.5) |
6.7%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 4% – 71%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Harrogate (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cheltenham Town will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cheltenham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 19).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Inactive)
Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Cass L.
(Inactive)
Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Fox B.
(Inactive)
Hill T.
(Injury)
McCoulsky S.
(Inactive)
Oxley M.
(Inactive)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cheltenham: King T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Cheltenham Town?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Harrogate Town?
Cheltenham Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
13.12.2025
Cheltenham Town
-
Harrogate Town
1:1
17.01.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Cheltenham Town
2:0
07.09.2024
Cheltenham Town
-
Harrogate Town
1:0
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
