Cádiz vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
21/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.36
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
612
Passes
71% (180/253)86% (448/520)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.301.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.960.32
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
310
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
310
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
612
Touches in opposition box
1739
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
71% (180/253)86% (448/520)
Long passes
40% (25/63)57% (27/47)
Passes in final third
47% (35/75)83% (168/202)
Crosses
13% (2/16)24% (8/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.67
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1113
Tackles
56% (5/9)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4547
Clearances
3526
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.321.96
Goals prevented
-0.68-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Carcelen I. 🟨,
  • 39', Diakite M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', de la Rosa J. , Tabatadze I. ,
  • 53', Marti R. , Pascual A. ,
  • 64', Santiago P. , Suero I. ,
  • 66', Camara O. 🟨,
  • 67', Suero I. 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Camara D. , Pascual A. (A),
  • 71', Ocampo B. , Ontiveros J. ,
  • 73', Gerenabarrena B. , Doue M. ,
  • 73', Sienra A. , Mamah K. ,
  • 78', Pereira R. 🟨,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Camara D. , Pascual A. (A),
  • 86', Barri , Tincho ,
  • 86', Mabil A. , Markanich N. ,
  • 87', Ortuno S. , Fernandez A. ,
  • 87', Camara D. , Diarra Y. ,
  • 88', Ontiveros J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mry9hhjv

Chances of winning


Cádiz
24.9%
Draw
27.6%
Castellón
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 27.7% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 27.2% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cádiz's form might have worsened.
  • Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cádiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cádiz - Castellón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (2.75)
    3.39
    (3.37)
    1.99
    (2.43)
    6.5%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cádiz - Castellón?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Castellón will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 45.7%84.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Castellón (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Cádiz (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Cádiz (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Castellón (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Recent performances by Cádiz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Castellón is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Cádiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Castellón will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cádiz: Climent M. (Yellow Cards) Fali (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Kovacevic B. (Injury) Suso (Injury)
    • There will not play in Castellón: Cipenga B. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Castellón: Jakobsen A. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cádiz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cádiz - Castellón were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Cádiz - Castellón 0:0
    09.09.2024 Castellón - Cádiz 1:3
    Latest results of Cádiz
    13.12.2025 Zaragoza - Cádiz 1:2
    07.12.2025 Cádiz - Racing Santander 2:3
    03.12.2025 Real Murcia - Cádiz 3:2
    30.11.2025 Córdoba - Cádiz 1:2
    23.11.2025 Cádiz - Leonesa 1:2
    Latest results of Castellón
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation