Wrexham vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
1:1
03/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 9
  • Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 4
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, SupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV7
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3, SupeSport ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.36
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
74% (285/383)85% (465/550)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.28
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
84
Passes
74% (285/383)85% (465/550)
Long passes
45% (29/64)32% (21/65)
Passes in final third
63% (80/128)55% (54/99)
Crosses
33% (5/15)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.75
Throw-ins
2918
Fouls
48
Tackles
56% (9/16)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4832
Clearances
2627
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.281.67
Goals prevented
0.280.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Dobson G. ⚽, Cleworth M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Roberts P. ⚽, Stansfield J. (A),
  • 65', Dykes L. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
  • 70', Sheaf B. ↓, James M. ↑,
  • 70', Windass J. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
  • 70', Gray D. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
  • 71', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
  • 81', Stansfield J. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
  • 84', Koumas L. 🟨,
  • 88', Hyam D. ↓, Scarr D. ↑,
  • 88', Longman R. ↓, McClean J. ↑,
  • 88', Kabore I. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Wrexham
30.8%		Draw
30.7%		Birmingham City
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 28% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 27.7% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wrexham's form might have worsened.
  • Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wrexham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
    •

    Wrexham - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.05 ↑
    (2.6)    		 3.11 ↓
    (3.34)    		 2.49 ↓
    (2.59)    		 5.1%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Birmingham will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 16.3% – 56.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 4 - 50%). Birmingham (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Wrexham (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Birmingham (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Wrexham (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Wrexham (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Birmingham (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).
    • Recent performances by Wrexham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Birmingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Wrexham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Inactive) Cacace L. (Knock) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wrexham: Rathbone O. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Anderson K. (Injury) Ducksch M. (Injury) Laird E. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Birmingham City were as follows:
    23.01.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1
    16.09.2024 Birmingham City - Wrexham 3:1
    Latest results of Wrexham
    30.09.2025 Leicester City - Wrexham 1:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1 ✺
    23.09.2025 Wrexham - Reading 2:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Norwich City - Wrexham 2:3 ✺
    13.09.2025 Wrexham - Queens Park Rangers 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    30.09.2025 Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:2 ✺
    27.09.2025 Coventry City - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Birmingham City - Swansea City 1:0 ✺
    13.09.2025 Stoke City - Birmingham City 1:0 ✺
    29.08.2025 Leicester City - Birmingham City 2:0 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry34208670:373368
    2Middlesbrough34189751:341763
    3Millwall34178945:40559
    4Ipswich32169756:342257
    5Hull331761055:48757
    6Wrexham341412853:45854
    7Southampton3413111054:45950
    8Bristol City341481247:42550
    9Preston341213941:38349
    10Birmingham3413101145:43249
    11Derby341391249:45448
    12Watford3412121043:40348
    13Stoke341381338:32647
    14QPR341381346:52-647
    15Swansea341371440:40046
    16Sheffield Utd341431748:48045
    17Norwich341261645:44142
    18Charlton3410111333:43-1041
    19Portsmouth331091434:43-939
    20Blackburn341081632:43-1138
    21West Brom34981733:50-1735
    22Leicester3410101447:54-734
    23Oxford Utd346111729:46-1729
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 34182520:68-48-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
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