Result
0:0
11/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 30
- Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
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| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
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| 2 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (160/259) | 77% (329/425) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.03 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
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| 2 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 0 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 2 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 6 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
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| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
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| 62% (160/259) | 77% (329/425) |
| Long passes |
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| 25% (14/55) | 51% (37/73) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 39% (24/62) | 58% (55/95) |
| Crosses |
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| 11% (1/9) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.18 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
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| 26 | 36 |
| Fouls |
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| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
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| 61% (14/23) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
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| 56 | 45 |
| Clearances |
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| 28 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
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| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.20 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.20 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Colas E. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
- 61', Rabillard A. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
- 62', Quarshie E. ↓, Bourabaa A. ↑,
- 67', Lauray A. ↓, Robin M. ↑,
- 70', Boyer J. ↓, Fatar N. ↑,
- 78', Calodat L. ↓, Ribelin A. ↑,
- 78', El Farissi A. ↓, Platret A. ↑,
- 79', Duflos S. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 83', Lecolier M. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Boulogne 26.3% | Draw 30% | Le Mans 43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Boulogne - Le Mans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.59 ↑ (3.11) |
3.1 (3.1) |
2.14 ↓ (2.3) |
6.8% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boulogne - Le Mans?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Le Mans will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Le Mans (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 1.
- Boulogne is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Le Mans is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Le Mans is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Boulogne: Keita S.
(Inactive)
Uriev A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Le Mans: Eyoum T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gomes M.
(Ankle Injury)
Rossignol M.
(Inactive)
Vercruysse J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boulogne won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Boulogne won against Le Mans?
Boulogne has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Boulogne?
Le Mans has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boulogne - Le Mans were as follows:
24.10.2025
Le Mans
-
Boulogne
1:0
14.02.2025
Le Mans
-
Boulogne
1:0
13.09.2024
Boulogne
-
Le Mans
3:2
Latest results of Boulogne
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 52:32 | 20 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 48 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National