Result
4:0
06/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (338/411) | 82% (311/378) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (338/411) | 82% (311/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (34/52) | 56% (25/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (66/99) | 67% (54/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (18/26) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 2.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -1.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Gueye D. ⚽, Robin M. (A),
- 38', Anziani J. 🟨,
- 38', Kalulu J. 🟨,
- 40', 2 - 0, Gueye D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pouilly T. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
- 58', Touzghar R. 🟨,
- 61', Robin M. ↓, Bourabaa A. ↑,
- 61', Gueye D. ↓, Rabillard A. ↑,
- 62', Cossier I. 🟨,
- 66', Anziani J. ↓, Sadik O. ↑,
- 69', Quarshie E. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
- 69', Cossier I. ↓, Voyer H. ↑,
- 76', Touzghar R. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
- 76', Kante ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 0, Bretelle L. ⚽,
- 79', Calodat L. ↓, Ribelin A. ↑,
- 82', Dong K. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 0, Rabillard A. ⚽, Colas E. (A),
Chances of winning
Le Mans
55.4% | Draw
24.1% | Pau
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Le Mans's performance.Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Le Mans that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Le Mans - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(2.1) |
3.9 ↑
(3.07) |
4.57 ↑
(3.71) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Le Mans - Pau?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 56% – 91.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Le Mans (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Le Mans will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 11).
- Le Mans is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pau has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Le Mans could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Le Mans: Eyoum T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gomes M.
(Ankle Injury)
Quarshie E.
(Inactive)
Vercruysse J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Karamoko S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Le Mans: Rabillard A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pau: Sissoko O.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Pau?
Le Mans has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Le Mans?
Pau has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Mans - Pau were as follows:
21.11.2025
Pau
-
Le Mans
1:2
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 47:30 | 17 | 58 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53:36 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 54 |
| 5 | Reims | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Rodez | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 52 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 39:28 | 11 | 50 |
| 8 | Annecy | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 46:36 | 10 | 49 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:54 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Clermont | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Nancy | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
| 16 | Laval | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 28:43 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22:37 | -15 | 25 |
| 18 | Amiens | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 36:57 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
