Nice vs Saint-Étienne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/12/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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italyItalyComo TV
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uruguayUruguayDSports 6
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.67
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
81% (326/402)91% (649/715)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.191.00
Total shots
917
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
09
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
1925
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
81% (326/402)91% (649/715)
Long passes
47% (21/45)57% (24/42)
Passes in final third
60% (48/80)72% (105/146)
Crosses
11% (1/9)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.660.78
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1210
Tackles
72% (13/18)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4546
Clearances
816
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.002.19
Goals prevented
0.000.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Diallo Z. , Clauss J. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 1, Davitashvili Z. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Old B. 🟨,
  • 61', Jaber M. 🟨,
  • 63', Ndombele T. , Gouveia T. ,
  • 63', Diallo Z. , Nguene B. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Sanson M. ,
  • 77', Eymard P. , El Jamali N. ,
  • 78', Tardieu F. , Miladinovic I. ,
  • 82', Diop S. , Bernardeau G. ,
  • 87', Sanson M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Cho M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nice
47.4%
Draw
25.5%
Saint-Étienne
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 24.4% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 26% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nice's form might have worsened.
  • Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Étienne's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Étienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nice - Saint-Étienne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.73)
    3.62
    (3.88)
    3.47
    (4.51)
    7.6%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Nice - Saint-Étienne?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Saint-Étienne (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Saint-Étienne (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Saint-Étienne (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Saint-Étienne (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Saint-Étienne (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Saint-Étienne (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Saint-Étienne (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Saint-Étienne (3.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Saint-Étienne will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 10 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 4.
    • Nice has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Saint-Étienne is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Saint-Étienne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Nice could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 3.68.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:4. (average 1.9:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Saint-Étienne - Nice 1:3
    20.09.2024 Nice - Saint-Étienne 8:0
    Latest results of Nice
    14.12.2025 Lens - Nice 2:0
    11.12.2025 Nice - Braga 0:1
    07.12.2025 Nice - Angers 0:1
    30.11.2025 Lorient - Nice 3:1
    27.11.2025 Porto - Nice 3:0
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    13.12.2025 Saint-Étienne - Bastia 2:2
    06.12.2025 Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    22.11.2025 Saint-Étienne - Nancy 2:1
    15.11.2025 Quetigny - Saint-Étienne 1:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    2CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    4ByeLille
    5LyonBye
    7Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    8FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    9SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    10SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    11SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    12TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    13Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    14St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    15Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    16Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    17EspoirEveil1 : 0
    18ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    19SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    20US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    21Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    22LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    23TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    24AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    25Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    26PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    27SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    28Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    29LensBye
    31APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    32CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    33YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    34BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    35Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    36BloisClermont2 : 1
    37MarseilleBye
    39Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    40Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    41CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    42PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    43WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    44BesanconThionville4 : 0
    45Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    46PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    48ByeRennes
    49PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    50OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    52ByeAngers
    53PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    54Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    56ByeToulouse
    57MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    58GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    59Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    60LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    61Le HavreBye
    63Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    64AubyAmiens0 : 3
    65BrestBye
    67AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    68SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    69StrasbourgBye
    71ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    72BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    73Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    74OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    75JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    76Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    77AuxerreBye
    80ByeMonaco
    81Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    82ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    83FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    84EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    85IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    86Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    87AvionTorcy0 : 2
    88OCPAMReims0 : 1
    89Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    90IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    91Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    92MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    93CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    94Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    95SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    96GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    97Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    98Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    99AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    100Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    101LorientBye
    103MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    104OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    105PSGBye
    107FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    108Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    109Paris FCBye
    111MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    112MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    113Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    114St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    116ByeNantes
    117NiceBye
    119Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    120QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    121Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    122ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    124ByeMetz
    125AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    126LavaurRodez1 : 3
    127MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    128AgdeMontpellier0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    2ByeLille
    3LyonBye
    4Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    5SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    6SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    7Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    8LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    9EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    10Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    11Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    12TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    13Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    14SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    15LensBye
    16APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    17YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    18RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    19MarseilleBye
    20SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    21CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    22FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    23Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    24ByeRennes
    25PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    26ByeAngers
    27Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    28ByeToulouse
    29MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    30ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    31Le HavreBye
    32Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4
    33BrestBye
    34AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    35StrasbourgBye
    36AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    37Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    38BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    39AuxerreBye
    40ByeMonaco
    41ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    42MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    43IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    44TorcyReims1 : 5
    45Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    46PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    47AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    48SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    49MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    50Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    51LorientBye
    52AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    53PSGBye
    54FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    55Paris FCBye
    56Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    57ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    58ByeNantes
    59NiceBye
    60Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    61BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    62ByeMetz
    63Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    64MontceauMontpellier0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1LusitanosLille0 : 1
    2LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    3IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    4GuingampLaval0 : 1
    5PontivyBastia0 : 1
    6Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    7SochauxBethune4 : 2
    8LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    9BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    10MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    11ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    12Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    13Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    14Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    15MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    16Le HavreAmiens0 : 2
    17BrestAvranches1 : 2
    18StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    19OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    20AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    21Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    22IC CroixReims0 : 4
    23Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    24GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    25Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    26LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    27PSGFontenay4 : 0
    28Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    29ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    30NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    31BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    32Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1LilleLyon1 : 2
    2IstresLaval0 : 2
    3BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    4SochauxLens0 : 3
    5BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    6ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    7AngersToulouse1 : 2
    8MontreuilAmiens2 : 4
    9AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    10OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    11Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    12Le MansNancy1 : 0
    13Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    14PSGParis FC0 : 1
    15NantesNice1 : 2
    16MetzMontpellier0 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1LyonLaval2 : 0
    2TroyesLens2 : 4
    3MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    4ToulouseAmiens1 : 0
    5StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    6ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    7LorientParis FC2 : 0
    8NiceMontpellier3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1LyonLens2 : 3
    2MarseilleToulouse2 : 3
    3StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    4LorientNice0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1LensToulouse4 : 1
    2StrasbourgNice0 : 2

    Final
    1LensNice