New York City vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York City - Cincinnati
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
New York City - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.461.01
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
83% (355/428)82% (360/441)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.461.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.820.71
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
3021
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
83% (355/428)82% (360/441)
Long passes
48% (24/50)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
81% (107/132)70% (70/100)
Crosses
17% (4/24)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.72
Throw-ins
2729
Fouls
1116
Tackles
80% (20/25)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5538
Clearances
2126
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
04
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.711.82
Goals prevented
0.710.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Fernandez J. ,
  • 12', Miazga M. 🟨,
  • 13', Martinez A. (Pen),
  • 26', Parks K. , Risa B. ,
  • 39', Freese M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Kubo Y. , Valenzuela G. ,
  • 50', Hagglund N. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 53', Perea A. , Cavallo N. ,
  • 69', Miazga M. , Flores G. ,
  • 72', Wolf H. 🟨,
  • 75', Haak J. 🟨,
  • 81', Orellano L. , Baird C. ,
  • 85', Fernandez J. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 85', Martinez A. , Bakrar M. ,
  • 90', Engel L. , Smith B. ,
  • 90+3', Evander 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
41.2%
Draw
26.2%
Cincinnati
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 27.3% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 28.2% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • New York City - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.32)
    3.63
    (3.46)
    2.92
    (2.95)
    5.1%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New York City - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 3.
    • Recent performances by NY City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cincinnati is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • NY City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in NY City: Arroyave J. (Inactive) Ilenic M. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hadebe T. (Hamstring Injury) Kubo Y. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, NY City won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 2.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:10. (average 3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Cincinnati were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 0:1
    02.11.2024 New York City - Cincinnati 3:1
    28.10.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 1:0
    02.10.2024 New York City - Cincinnati 3:2
    05.08.2024 Cincinnati - New York City 4:2
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22133646:301642
    2Minnesota United22117439:251440
    3Vancouver Whitecaps21115535:251038
    4Seattle Sounders2196631:28333
    5Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    6Los Angeles FC1995535:241132
    7Colorado Rapids23851027:33-629
    8San Jose Earthquakes2277842:37528
    9Austin FC2176815:23-827
    10Houston Dynamo22751029:35-626
    11Real Salt Lake21741023:28-525
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas21561027:39-1221
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy22361324:43-1915


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union22134537:211643
    2FC Cincinnati22133635:31442
    3Nashville SC22125538:251341
    4Columbus Crew22118338:29941
    5Inter Miami19115344:301438
    6Orlando City2298540:291135
    7New York City2194827:24331
    8New York Red Bulls2286833:27630
    9Charlotte22921136:36029
    10Chicago Fire2184940:38228
    11New England Revolution2167826:25125
    12Atlanta Utd21471023:38-1519
    13DC United22471118:41-2319
    14Toronto FC21461124:29-518
    15CF Montreal22361319:41-2215

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of New York City - Cincinnati?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
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