Result
2:0
01/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (346/428) | 74% (206/280) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (346/428) | 74% (206/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 38% (20/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (89/126) | 67% (56/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Iturbe J. 🟨,
- 42', Paredes C. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
- 45+1', Chaparro M. 🟨,
- 45+5', Nunez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Vegetti P. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 46', Franco C. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
- 56', Dominguez F. 🟨,
- 57', Mosquera H. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Iturbe J. ⚽, Chaparro M. (A),
- 63', Ortiz R. ↓, Vidal T. ↑,
- 63', Dominguez R. ↓, Garay C. ↑,
- 72', Dominguez Castillo J. C. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
- 74', Dominguez C. 🟨,
- 80', Galeano F. ↓, Canete M. ↑,
- 80', Figueredo C. ↓, Piris I. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 0, Perez M. ⚽,
- 87', Martin A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
81.2% | Draw
13.6% | Deportivo Recoleta
5.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cerro Porteño's performance.Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Recoleta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cerro Porteño that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Recoleta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.14 ↓
(1.45) |
6.98 ↑
(4.44) |
18.9 ↑
(6.4) |
7.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 7 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Cerro Porteño (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Cerro Porteño (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cerro Porteño will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3).
- Recent performances by Cerro Porteño have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Recoleta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cerro Porteño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Cerro Porteño has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Cerro Porteño?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
03.10.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:0
26.07.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
28.04.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
15.02.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Deportivo Recoleta
2:1
18.09.2024
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Cerro Porteño
2:3
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12:26 | -14 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11:33 | -22 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
