Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteño: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño
Result
1:3
28/04/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)
Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.33
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
81% (320/397)80% (309/385)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.981.12
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
107
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1911
Passes
81% (320/397)80% (309/385)
Long passes
48% (23/48)50% (23/46)
Passes in final third
67% (62/92)65% (70/107)
Crosses
25% (6/24)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.42
Throw-ins
2420
Fouls
1119
Tackles
71% (12/17)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5142
Clearances
2436
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
1.120.98
Goals prevented
-1.88-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Leon D. ,
  • 45+2', Viera W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 0 - 2, Marecos T. , Benitez A. (A),
  • 56', Nunez J. 🟨,
  • 66', Samudio M. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 66', Gayoso H. , Medina B. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Sandoval H. , Gonzalez L. (A),
  • 71', 1 - 3, Benitez A. ,
  • 73', Leon D. , Benitez A. G. ,
  • 73', Marecos T. , Rodriguez D. ,
  • 77', Perez M. 🟨,
  • 78', Piris I. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 78', Ferreira B. , Baez W. ,
  • 80', Morel J. , Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ,
  • 80', Iturbe J. , Aguayo G. ,
  • 83', Fernandez R. 🟨,
  • 85', Carrizo F. , Avalos A. ,
  • 86', Silva A. , Hernan Perez ,
  • 86', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 🟨,
  • 89', Velazquez G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lopez M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Recoleta
19.5%
Draw
30.4%
Cerro Porteño
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18% 24.1% 57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8% 23.1% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro Porteño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.77
    (5.14)
    3.07
    (3.83)
    1.85
    (1.59)
    7.7%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 4).
    • Recoleta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recoleta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Recoleta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Recoleta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Cerro Porteño - Deportivo Recoleta 2:1
    18.09.2024 Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño 2:3
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Trinidense11004:223
    2Cerro Porteno11003:123
    3Sp. Luqueno11001:013
    42 de Mayo00000:000
    5Guarani00000:000
    6Nacional Asuncion00000:000
    7Olimpia Asuncion00000:000
    8Atl. Tembetary00000:000
    9Ameliano00000:000
    10Libertad Asuncion10010:1-10
    11Recoleta10012:4-20
    12General Caballero JLM10011:3-20

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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