Result
1:0
28/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 29
- Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
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| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (438/526) | 85% (460/543) |
| Passes in the final third |
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| 67% (81/121) | 76% (112/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 10% (2/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 53% (9/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', McDonald R. 🟨,
- 15', Fusire S. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽, Abbott G. (A),
- 45+2', Hayden A. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Scott C. ↓, Harris K. ↑,
- 64', Fusire S. ↓, Patching W. ↑,
- 72', Grant C. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
- 72', McDonald R. ↓, Johnson Z. ↑,
- 73', Jones J. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
- 76', McArthur C. 🟨,
- 81', Embleton E. ↓, Robson E. ↑,
- 86', McGoldrick D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Jatta A. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Notts County
59.7% | Draw
22.2% | Carlisle United
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Notts County - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.66) |
4.24 ↑
(3.95) |
5.19 ↑
(4.66) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Notts County - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 21.7% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 3.
- Notts County is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Carlisle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Notts County is a favorite.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Notts County won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:19 (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Carlisle United?
Notts County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Notts County?
Carlisle United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Carlisle United were as follows:
01.10.2024
Carlisle United
-
Notts County
0:2
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
