Result
1:0
23/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 7
- Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (447/504) | 86% (446/519) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (447/504) | 86% (446/519) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 53% (25/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (70/107) | 54% (57/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Bianda W. 🟨,
- 29', Kante 🟨,
- 45', Zuliani E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 0, Messi R. ⚽, Touzghar R. (A),
- 61', Clavreul E. ↓, Sellouki M. ↑,
- 62', Meddah D. 🟨,
- 64', Zuliani E. ↓, Sadik O. ↑,
- 65', Touzghar R. ↓, Beusnard S. ↑,
- 65', Messi R. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
- 73', Maggiotti J. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
- 74', Bianda W. ↓, Pellenard T. ↑,
- 74', Vargas T. ↓, Faurand-Tournaire A. ↑,
- 82', Bobichon A. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
- 85', Dong K. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pau
40.3% | Draw
30.2% | Laval
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Laval might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laval could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pau - Laval Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.44) |
3.08 ↓
(3.2) |
3.19 ↑
(2.45) |
6.3%
(13%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pau - Laval?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Laval will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Laval (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Pouilly T.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Laval: Adilehou M.
(Inactive)
Camara M.
(Inactive)
Montet E.
(Leg Injury)
Ouaneh P.
(Knee Injury)
Vargas T.
(Personal Reasons)
- There are questionable in Pau: Briancon A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Laval: Clavreul E.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pau won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Laval?
Pau has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Laval won against Pau?
Laval has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Laval were as follows:
31.01.2025
Pau
-
Laval
1:1
27.09.2024
Laval
-
Pau
3:1
20.04.2024
Pau
-
Laval
3:0
16.12.2023
Laval
-
Pau
1:1
18.02.2023
Pau
-
Laval
0:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Reims | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Red Star | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Nancy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Rodez | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Clermont | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Amiens | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Le Mans | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Annecy | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Laval | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Bastia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
