Result
0:1
10/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 30
- Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (302/359) | 89% (455/512) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 7 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (302/359) | 89% (455/512) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (29/49) | 71% (47/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (36/66) | 71% (67/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
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| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Dong K. ⚽, Salles E. (A),
- 30', Sadik O. 🟨,
- 34', Bakayoko S. 🟥,
- 42', Dong K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kandil N. ↓, Chabane A. ↑,
- 48', Nduquidi J. 🟨,
- 57', Hamache I. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
- 57', Leautey A. ↓, Averlant T. ↑,
- 65', Touzghar R. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
- 66', Ntamack S. ↓, Aissat O. ↑,
- 80', Nduquidi J. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
- 88', Dong K. ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Amiens
38.3% | Draw
26.3% | Pau
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amiens's performance.Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amiens that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Amiens - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(3.11) |
3.59 ↑
(3.45) |
2.64 ↑
(2.14) |
7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Amiens - Pau?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Pau will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 19.1% – 73.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Pau (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 3.
- Amiens is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pau's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lo A.
(Inactive)
Lobry V.
(Knee Injury)
Mlakar J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Pau: Briancon A.
(Inactive)
Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Karamoko S.
(Inactive)
Sissoko O.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Pau?
Amiens has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Amiens?
Pau has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Pau were as follows:
12.12.2025
Pau
-
Amiens
1:2
02.05.2025
Amiens
-
Pau
4:2
25.10.2024
Pau
-
Amiens
0:2
30.03.2024
Amiens
-
Pau
2:3
30.09.2023
Pau
-
Amiens
1:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National
