St. Louis City 2 vs Houston Dynamo 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro St. Louis City 2 - Houston Dynamo 2
28/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
St. Louis City 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.56
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
83% (363/437)69% (175/253)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.760.16
Total shots
218
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
83% (363/437)69% (175/253)
Long passes
55% (28/51)30% (14/47)
Passes in final third
69% (82/119)57% (42/74)
Crosses
26% (5/19)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.60
Throw-ins
2523
Fouls
1515
Tackles
50% (5/10)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4852
Clearances
2616
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
0.161.76
Goals prevented
0.160.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Barrett D. 🟨,
  • 44', Mwakutuya I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Betancourt N. 🟨,
  • 56', Betancourt N. , Flores O. ,
  • 63', Arzu E. , Gitau L. ,
  • 65', Kidd M. , Joyner M. ,
  • 68', Joyner M. 🟨,
  • 79', McSorley B. , Dugan R. ,
  • 81', Dugan R. 🟨,
  • 84', Perez M. , Glover C. ,
  • 85', Bolma J. , Dimareli M. ,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Jaaskelainen E. ,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City 2
71.8%
Draw
15.7%
Houston Dynamo 2
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 17.3% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6% 16.1% 14.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Houston Dynamo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • St. Louis City 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.36)
    5.85
    (5.3)
    7.38
    (6.08)
    8.8%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 3.
    • St. Louis City 2 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Houston Dynamo 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Houston Dynamo 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Houston Dynamo 2 has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, St. Louis City 2 is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that St. Louis City 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 were as follows:
    04.05.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 3:1
    11.08.2024 Houston Dynamo 2 - St. Louis City 2 2:1
    16.06.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 1:0
    22.05.2024 Houston Dynamo 2 - St. Louis City 2 2:0
    03.09.2023 Houston Dynamo 2 - St. Louis City 2 1:3
    Latest results of St. Louis City 2
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    3Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    4Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    5New York City II15522628:3121
    6New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    7Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    8Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga15822324:2030
    2Huntsville13532327:1623
    3Orlando City B15611721:2721
    4Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    5Carolina Core14324519:1917
    6Inter Miami II15402923:3414
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County15911429:2230
    2Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 215530733:3021
    4Tacoma Defiance13610630:2820
    5Town FC12521424:1420
    6Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    7Portland Timbers 214412722:3116


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    3North Texas15621625:3023
    4Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    5Austin FC II14433413:1521
    6Minnesota 213602522:1720
    7Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Chattanooga15822324:2030
    3Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    4Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    5Huntsville13532327:1623
    6Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    7Orlando City B15611721:2721
    8New York City II15522628:3121
    9New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    10Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    11Carolina Core14324519:1917
    12Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    13Inter Miami II15402923:3414
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Ventura County15911429:2230
    3Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    4North Texas15621625:3023
    5Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    6Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 215530733:3021
    8Austin FC II14433413:1521
    9Minnesota 213602522:1720
    10Tacoma Defiance13610630:2820
    11Town FC12521424:1420
    12Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    13Portland Timbers 214412722:3116
    14Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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