Result
10/05/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Corinthians
42.4% | Draw
30.5% | São Paulo
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-1%)
Corinthians - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.21) |
3.07 ↑
(3.02) |
3.43 ↑
(3.33) |
6.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.
- Corinthians is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- São Paulo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Corinthians might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against São Paulo?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Corinthians?
São Paulo has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - São Paulo were as follows:
18.01.2026
Corinthians
-
São Paulo
1:1
20.11.2025
Corinthians
-
São Paulo
3:1
19.07.2025
São Paulo
-
Corinthians
2:0
26.01.2025
São Paulo
-
Corinthians
3:1
29.09.2024
São Paulo
-
Corinthians
3:1
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 18 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
