São Paulo vs Corinthians: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A São Paulo - Corinthians
19/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
São Paulo - Corinthians - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


São Paulo
40.3%
Draw
32.7%
Corinthians
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 30.9% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 32.7% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Corinthians aligns with the current prediction.
  • São Paulo - Corinthians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.33)
    2.86
    (3.05)
    3.54
    (3.3)
    5.6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 4.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Corinthians were as follows:
    26.01.2025 São Paulo - Corinthians 3:1
    29.09.2024 São Paulo - Corinthians 3:1
    16.06.2024 Corinthians - São Paulo 2:2
    30.01.2024 Corinthians - São Paulo 1:2
    30.09.2023 São Paulo - Corinthians 2:1
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Latest results of Corinthians
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1383226:52127
    2Cruzeiro1383221:91227
    3Bragantino1483318:14427
    4Bahia1373316:12424
    5Palmeiras1272313:9423
    6Botafogo RJ1364316:7922
    7Fluminense1162315:12320
    8Atletico-MG1355314:12220
    9Corinthians1454515:17-219
    10Ceara1353514:12218
    11Mirassol1246218:13518
    12Gremio1344513:19-616
    13Santos1342712:14-214
    14Internacional1335513:18-514
    15Vasco1341814:18-413
    16Sao Paulo1427512:18-613
    17Vitoria1426610:15-512
    18Juventude1232710:24-1411
    19Fortaleza1324712:19-710
    20Sport Recife120395:20-153

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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