Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ⚽,
- 37', Martinez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Romero C. ↓, Vuelto D. ↑,
- 46', Cacho D. ↓, Cruz N. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Moreno Y. ⚽,
- 47', Alvarado E. ↓, Aparicio D. ↑,
- 64', Mejia Y. ↓, Andino E. ↑,
- 64', Lopez A. ↓, Gomez H. ↑,
- 78', Moreno Y. ↓, Benavidez J. ↑,
- 81', De Olivera R. ↓, Villatoro A. ↑,
- 82', Lopez L. 🟥,
- 85', Moya B. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
- 90+1', Gutierrez Y. 🟨,
- 90+4', Elvir O. ↓, Small C. ↑,
- 90+7', Andino E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Olancho
43.7% | Draw
28.5% | Real España
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olancho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Olancho - Real España Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.95) |
3.26 ↑
(3.2) |
3.33 ↓
(3.5) |
8%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 1.
- Olancho is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Real España has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Olancho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olancho won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against Real España?
Olancho has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against Olancho?
Real España has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olancho - Real España were as follows:
22.07.2025
Real España
-
Olancho
4:1
03.05.2025
Real España
-
Olancho
1:0
01.03.2025
Olancho
-
Real España
0:3
20.10.2024
Real España
-
Olancho
1:1
11.08.2024
Olancho
-
Real España
3:1
Latest results of Olancho
Latest results of Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 34 |
| 2 | Marathon | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 30 |
| 3 | Olancho | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28:20 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 6 | Platense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Motagua | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Choloma | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 11 |
| 10 | Genesis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
