Result
3:1
04/03/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Russian Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Oblyakov I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 22', 0 - 1, Cobnan M. D. ⚽, Joao Batxi (A),
- 24', Lenini K. 🟨,
- 36', Matheus Reis 🟨,
- 43', Lenini K. ↓, Spertsyan E. ↑,
- 45+4', Gondou L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Boselli J. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
- 46', Khmarin A. ↓, Olaza L. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Glebov K. ⚽,
- 61', Cobnan M. D. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
- 67', Paltsev V. ↓, Victor Sa ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 1, Krugovoy D. ⚽,
- 70', Gajic M. 🟨,
- 72', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
- 72', Douglas Augusto 🟨,
- 73', Jubal Junior 🟨,
- 76', Kozlov D. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
- 76', Gondou L. ↓, Matheus Alves ↑,
- 77', Chernikov A. 🟨,
- 83', Glebov K. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Kislyak M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
CSKA Moscow 39.8% | Draw 27.9% | Krasnodar 32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.42 ↓ (2.65) |
3.46 ↑ (3.3) |
2.98 ↑ (2.55) |
3.7% (7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - CSKA (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. CSKA (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 2.
- CSKA is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Krasnodar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Krasnodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Krasnodar?
CSKA Moscow has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against CSKA Moscow?
Krasnodar has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar were as follows:
03.02.2026
CSKA Moscow
-
Krasnodar
2:2
07.12.2025
Krasnodar
-
CSKA Moscow
3:2
31.08.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Krasnodar
1:1
12.07.2025
Krasnodar
-
CSKA Moscow
0:1
10.05.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Krasnodar
1:0
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Latest results of Krasnodar
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Zenit | Dynamo Moscow | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Dynamo Makhachkala | CSKA Moscow | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Orenburg | Krasnodar | 0 : 4, 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dynamo Moscow | Spartak Moscow | |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | Krasnodar | 3 : 1 |