CSKA Moscow vs Krasnodar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
04/03/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Russian Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
96
Corner kicks
94
Yellow cards
36
Red cards
01
Total shots
167
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
71
Corner kicks
94
Free kicks
2413

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Oblyakov I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 22', 0 - 1, Cobnan M. D. , Joao Batxi (A),
  • 24', Lenini K. 🟨,
  • 36', Matheus Reis 🟨,
  • 43', Lenini K. , Spertsyan E. ,
  • 45+4', Gondou L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Boselli J. , Cordoba J. ,
  • 46', Khmarin A. , Olaza L. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Glebov K. ,
  • 61', Cobnan M. D. , Gonzalez G. ,
  • 67', Paltsev V. , Victor Sa ,
  • 68', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Krugovoy D. ,
  • 70', Gajic M. 🟨,
  • 72', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
  • 72', Douglas Augusto 🟨,
  • 73', Jubal Junior 🟨,
  • 76', Kozlov D. , Musaev T. ,
  • 76', Gondou L. , Matheus Alves ,
  • 77', Chernikov A. 🟨,
  • 83', Glebov K. , Henrique Carmo ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Kislyak M. ,

Chances of winning


CSKA Moscow
39.8%
Draw
27.9%
Krasnodar
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 28.3% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 27.9% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.65)
    3.46
    (3.3)
    2.98
    (2.55)
    3.7%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - CSKA (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. CSKA (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 2.
    • CSKA is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Krasnodar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Krasnodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar were as follows:
    03.02.2026 CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar 2:2
    07.12.2025 Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow 3:2
    31.08.2025 CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar 1:1
    12.07.2025 Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow 0:1
    10.05.2025 CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar 1:0
    Latest results of CSKA Moscow
    18.02.2026 CSKA Moscow - Rostov 3:1
    10.02.2026 Zenit - CSKA Moscow 2:3
    Latest results of Krasnodar
    28.02.2026 Krasnodar - Rostov 2:1
    17.02.2026 Krasnodar - Zenit 0:1
    10.02.2026 Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar 1:0
    06.02.2026 Krasnodar - Zenit 3:0
    03.02.2026 CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ZenitDynamo Moscow1 : 0, 1 : 3
    2Spartak MoscowLokomotiv Moscow3 : 2, 3 : 1
    3Dynamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow1 : 3, 1 : 0
    4OrenburgKrasnodar0 : 4, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Dynamo MoscowSpartak Moscow
    2CSKA MoscowKrasnodar3 : 1