Result
1:2
25/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Elfath I. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (355/446) | 81% (353/438) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (355/446) | 81% (353/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (16/51) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (59/104) | 75% (83/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.59 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Kuscevic B. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
- 27', Togashi C. ↓, Latte Lath E. ↑,
- 30', Cifuentes J. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
- 38', Gregersen S. 🟨,
- 45+2', Sanchez C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', 0 - 1, Miranchuk Al. ⚽,
- 59', Brennan L. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 2, Muyumba T. ⚽, Picault F. (A), Sanchez C. (A2)
- 71', 1 - 2, Aristizabal E. ⚽, Franklin K. (A),
- 72', Coello A. ↓, Bossenberry A. ↑,
- 72', Sargent J. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
- 77', Sanchez C. ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
- 77', Aristizabal E. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toronto FC
47.8% | Draw
26.3% | Atlanta United
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Toronto FC - Atlanta United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.89) |
3.62 ↑
(3.45) |
3.64 ↓
(3.75) |
5.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Atlanta United?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
- Toronto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlanta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Toronto is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Toronto: Corbeanu T.
(Knee Injury)
Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kuscevic B.
(Groin Injury)
Matheus Pereira
(Groin Injury)
Mihailovic D.
(Pelvis Injury)
Wingo H.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Atlanta: Almiron M.
(Knee Injury)
Alzate S.
(Knee Injury)
Sergio Santos
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Atlanta: Jacob T.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Atlanta United?
Toronto FC has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Toronto FC?
Atlanta United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Atlanta United were as follows:
24.08.2025
Atlanta United
-
Toronto FC
0:0
12.07.2025
Toronto FC
-
Atlanta United
1:1
29.06.2024
Atlanta United
-
Toronto FC
2:1
23.03.2024
Toronto FC
-
Atlanta United
2:0
15.04.2023
Toronto FC
-
Atlanta United
2:2
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of Atlanta United
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26:7 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:6 | 20 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:26 | -18 | 5 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | New York City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:32 | -16 | 10 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
