Toronto FC vs Atlanta United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Toronto FC - Atlanta United
Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)
Toronto FC - Atlanta United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.35
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
78% (244/314)85% (466/547)
Yellow Cards
61
Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.951.26
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1931
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
813
Passes
78% (244/314)85% (466/547)
Long passes
42% (25/59)60% (30/50)
Passes in final third
60% (57/95)69% (90/131)
Crosses
40% (6/15)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.75
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
138
Tackles
75% (9/12)75% (6/8)
Duels won
3642
Clearances
2221
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.260.95
Goals prevented
0.26-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Brynhildsen O. , Kerr D. ,
  • 45+6', Flores D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Flores D. , Longstaff M. (A),
  • 53', Flores D. , Coello A. ,
  • 62', Rosted S. 🟨,
  • 64', Etienne D. , Spicer T. ,
  • 65', Lobjanidze S. , Brennan L. ,
  • 76', Muyumba T. , Thiare J. ,
  • 82', Spicer T. 🟨,
  • 88', Petretta R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Corbeanu T. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 90+8', Rosted S. , Sharp C. ,
  • 90+9', Sharp C. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 1 - 1, Latte Lath E. (Pen),
  • 90+12', Thiare J. 🟨,
  • 90+12', Longstaff M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto FC
38.7%
Draw
27%
Atlanta United
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 26.4% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 26.7% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Toronto FC - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.72)
    3.51
    (3.62)
    2.77
    (2.49)
    5.4%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Atlanta United?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Atlanta will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 13.8%61.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J. (Forearm injury) Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Williams D. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Osorio J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Atlanta United were as follows:
    29.06.2024 Atlanta United - Toronto FC 2:1
    23.03.2024 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 2:0
    15.04.2023 Toronto FC - Atlanta United 2:2
    04.03.2023 Atlanta United - Toronto FC 1:1
    10.09.2022 Atlanta United - Toronto FC 4:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22133646:301642
    2Minnesota United22117439:251440
    3Vancouver Whitecaps21115535:251038
    4Seattle Sounders2196631:28333
    5Portland Timbers2196631:30133
    6Los Angeles FC1995535:241132
    7Colorado Rapids23851027:33-629
    8San Jose Earthquakes2277842:37528
    9Austin FC2176815:23-827
    10Houston Dynamo22751029:35-626
    11Real Salt Lake21741023:28-525
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas21561027:39-1221
    14St. Louis City22461223:35-1218
    15Los Angeles Galaxy22361324:43-1915


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union22134537:211643
    2FC Cincinnati22133635:31442
    3Nashville SC22125538:251341
    4Columbus Crew22118338:29941
    5Inter Miami19115344:301438
    6Orlando City2298540:291135
    7New York City2194827:24331
    8New York Red Bulls2286833:27630
    9Charlotte22921136:36029
    10Chicago Fire2184940:38228
    11New England Revolution2167826:25125
    12Atlanta Utd21471023:38-1519
    13DC United22471118:41-2319
    14Toronto FC21461124:29-518
    15CF Montreal22361319:41-2215

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Toronto FC - Atlanta United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaRDS 2, RDS App, TSN 4
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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