Result
2:1
04/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 14
- Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (242/342) | 77% (338/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (242/342) | 77% (338/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (19/70) | 33% (23/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (62/116) | 55% (62/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Morris C. ⚽, Ward J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 1, Ndala J. ⚽,
- 68', Agyemang P. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
- 70', Ndala J. ↓, Gyabi D. ↑,
- 77', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
- 77', Ozoh D. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
- 81', Joseph K. ↓, Destan E. ↑,
- 81', Gelhardt J. ↓, Akintola B. ↑,
- 82', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Salvesen L. ⚽, Weimann A. (A),
- 85', Salvesen L. 🟨,
- 86', Egan J. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derby County
43.3% | Draw
28.3% | Hull City
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Derby County - Hull City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.34) |
3.36 ↓
(3.47) |
3.3 ↑
(2.91) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Hull City?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Hull will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 45.7% – 84.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derby County will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4.
- Derby is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hull is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Derby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Johnston M.
(Inactive)
Nelson C.
(Inactive)
Thompson L.
(Inactive)
Travis L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lundstram J.
(Calf Injury)
Matazo E.
(Knee Injury)
McBurnie O.
(Inactive)
Palmer K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Hull: Millar L.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Derby won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:12. (average 1.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Hull City?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hull City won against Derby County?
Hull City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Hull City were as follows:
26.04.2025
Hull City
-
Derby County
0:1
26.10.2024
Derby County
-
Hull City
1:1
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Hull City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40:13 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:10 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Preston | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20:14 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | Hull | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:24 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Millwall | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 17:20 | -3 | 25 |
| 7 | Ipswich | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:18 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Charlton | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 23 |
| 10 | Derby | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 23 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 21 |
| 12 | Leicester | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 21 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 21 |
| 14 | West Brom | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14:16 | -2 | 21 |
| 15 | Watford | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 20 |
| 16 | QPR | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 19 |
| 17 | Southampton | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 18 |
| 18 | Swansea | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:19 | -5 | 16 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 14 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11:26 | -15 | 10 |
| 23 | Norwich | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12:29 | -17 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
