Result
2:3
12/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 20
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (343/418) | 83% (300/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 2.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (343/418) | 83% (300/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (32/49) | 48% (24/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (59/96) | 73% (94/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 2.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.79 | 2.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Boersma B. ⚽, van der Heide A. (A),
- 29', 2 - 0, Niemeijer R. ⚽, El Kadiri I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 51', 2 - 1, van den Hurk A. ⚽, Breij M. (A),
- 56', Jansen K. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 2, Griffith I. ⚽, van den Hurk A. (A),
- 66', de Jong F. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
- 70', El Kadiri I. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
- 70', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
- 77', Seedorf C. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
- 84', van der Heide A. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
- 89', van den Hurk A. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Cooper-Love J. ⚽, Griffith I. (A),
Chances of winning
De Graafschap
53.5% | Draw
21.7% | Roda
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with De Graafschap that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
De Graafschap - Roda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(2.03) |
4.32 ↑
(3.75) |
3.73 ↑
(3.02) |
7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Roda?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Roda (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - De Graafschap (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
De Graafschap will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): De Graafschap will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Roda (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2.
- De Graafschap is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Roda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Roda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- De Graafschap is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in De Graafschap: Besselink R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Roda: Kother T.
(Knee Injury)
Paulissen M.
(Knee Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Knee Injury)
Van den Buijs D.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Roda: Deom J.
(Injury)
- We predict that De Graafschap will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Roda?
De Graafschap has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against De Graafschap?
Roda has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Roda were as follows:
15.08.2025
Roda
-
De Graafschap
1:0
06.04.2025
De Graafschap
-
Roda
2:0
01.09.2024
Roda
-
De Graafschap
1:4
19.04.2024
Roda
-
De Graafschap
1:1
29.09.2023
De Graafschap
-
Roda
0:0
Latest results of De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
