Independiente Petroleros vs Universitario de Vinto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre).

Division Profesional - Round 4
Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56, Futbol Canal

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.17	0.63
Ball possession
53%	47%
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
6	4
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
4	6
Passes
82% (338/413)	78% (280/360)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.17	0.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.04	0.66
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
7	3
Shots outside the box
7	10
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
19	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	2
Free kicks
10	16
Passes
82% (338/413)	78% (280/360)
Long passes
68% (39/57)	55% (43/78)
Passes in final third
65% (70/107)	60% (72/121)
Crosses
62% (8/13)	15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.34	0.57
Throw ins
19	26
Fouls
16	10
Tackles
75% (12/16)	56% (5/9)
Duels won
41	35
Clearances
27	12
Interceptions
11	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.66	1.04
Goals prevented
-0.34	-0.96

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', Cuellar G. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Villavicencio J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 0, Willie ⚽, Villavicencio J. (A),
57', Cuadiay Fernandez M. ↓, Lazarte J. ↑,
61', Jose Pinto ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
64', Rodriguez F. ↓, Leanos H. ↑,
64', Cristaldo G. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
71', Torres S. 🟨,
72', Cuellar G. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
72', Calicho J. ↓, Mamani Y. ↑,
72', Camacho Almanza D. A. ↓, Dorrego H. ↑,
72', Rojas D. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Jara A. ⚽, Dorrego H. (A),
77', Cristaldo J. E. ↓, Claros D. ↑,
77', Torres S. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
82', Montenegro L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Independiente Petroleros
41.1%

Draw
24.7%

Universitario de Vinto
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

24.2%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

22.7%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Petroleros's form might have worsened.

Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Petroleros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.98)	3.74 ↓ (3.78)	2.68 ↓ (3.09)	8.7% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Ind Petroleros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Ind Petroleros could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Universitario de Vinto?

Independiente Petroleros has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Vinto won against Independiente Petroleros?

Universitario de Vinto has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto were as follows:

10.12.2025 Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros 2:3

15.07.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto 0:1

12.07.2025 Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto 1:1

24.06.2025 Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros 3:0

09.12.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto 3:2

Latest results of Independiente Petroleros

21.04.2026 Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros 1:2 ✺

15.04.2026 Caracas - Independiente Petroleros 1:0 ✺

10.04.2026 Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros 2:2 ✺

07.04.2026 Independiente Petroleros - Racing 1:3 ✺

03.04.2026 Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Universitario de Vinto

21.04.2026 Universitario de Vinto - ABB 5:2 ✺

11.04.2026 Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Vinto 1:0 ✺

05.04.2026 Universitario de Vinto - The Strongest 1:2 ✺

10.03.2026 Universitario de Vinto - Real Oruro 1:1 ✺

06.03.2026 Real Oruro - Universitario de Vinto 4:3 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	4	3	1	0	8:2	6	10
2	The Strongest	4	3	1	0	8:5	3	10
3	Bolivar	4	3	0	1	14:4	10	9
4	Independiente	5	2	2	1	8:9	-1	8
5	Blooming	4	2	1	1	11:6	5	7
6	Nacional Potosi	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7
7	SA Bulo Bulo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7
8	Aurora	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6
9	Oriente Petrolero	4	2	0	2	4:4	0	6
10	Academia del Balompie	4	2	0	2	7:10	-3	6
11	Real Potosi	5	1	2	2	5:5	0	5
12	Real Oruro	5	1	1	3	9:13	-4	4
13	Universitario de Vinto	4	1	0	3	7:7	0	3
14	GV San Jose	4	0	2	2	4:6	-2	2
15	Tomayapo	4	0	2	2	1:11	-10	2
16	Guabira	4	0	1	3	3:12	-9	1

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