Pogoń Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/02/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 21
  • Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.690.66
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
42
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
87
Passes
82% (344/421)78% (260/335)
Yellow cards
34
Expected goals (xG)
1.690.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.04
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
105
Shots inside the box
116
Shots outside the box
95
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
3616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1515
Passes
82% (344/421)78% (260/335)
Long passes
40% (20/50)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
70% (109/156)49% (36/73)
Crosses
29% (7/24)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.41
Throw ins
1312
Fouls
1515
Tackles
58% (7/12)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4356
Clearances
3438
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.041.59
Goals prevented
0.040.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Mukairu P. , Grosicki K. (A),
  • 40', Navarro M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Pozo J. 🟨,
  • 61', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
  • 62', Gaprindashvili T. 🟨,
  • 63', Gaprindashvili T. , Kubiak O. ,
  • 63', Navarro M. , Kocyla D. ,
  • 64', Acosta K. 🟨,
  • 65', Pozo J. , Greenwood S. ,
  • 73', Rusyn N. , Gutkovskis V. ,
  • 76', Koutris L. , Mendy B. ,
  • 77', Acosta K. , Bieganski J. ,
  • 85', Jakubczyk K. , Perea L. ,
  • 86', Gojny D. , Abramowicz D. ,
  • 86', Grosicki K. , Loncar D. ,
  • 89', Mendy B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Abramowicz D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
57.4%
Draw
23.4%
Arka Gdynia
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 25.4% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.69)
    4.03
    (3.51)
    4.87
    (4.1)
    6.7%
    (12.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Arka will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 47.7%95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Arka (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Szczecin will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Arka (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 0.
    • Pogoń Szczecin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Mendy B. (Inactive) Molnar R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Greenwood S. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:18. (average 2.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1
    02.07.2025 Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0
    15.11.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia 1:1
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia22108439:261338
    2Zaglebie23108537:271038
    3Lech Poznan23108540:34638
    4Gornik Zabrze23104933:31234
    5Rakow23104931:29234
    6Cracovia2389629:25433
    7Wisla Plock2389624:20433
    8Pogon Szczecin23941033:35-231
    9Korona Kielce2386927:26130
    10GKS Katowice22931031:32-130
    11Motor Lublin2379732:37-530
    12Radomiak Radom2278737:34329
    13Piast Gliwice23851026:28-229
    14Lechia Gdansk2396846:45128
    15Arka Gdynia22751021:38-1726
    16Legia23510827:29-225
    17Widzew Lodz23731329:33-424
    18Termalica B-B23571127:40-1322

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