Barrow vs Chesterfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Holker Street (Barrow in Furness).

League Two - Round 42
Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.37	1.36
Ball possession
36%	64%
Total shots
7	13
Shots on target
1	2
Big chances
0	4
Corner kicks
1	12
Passes
57% (162/285)	77% (383/495)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.37	1.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.15	1.41
Total shots
7	13
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked shots
2	8
Shots inside the box
5	11
Shots outside the box
2	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	4
Corner kicks
1	12
Touches in opposition box
14	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	4
Free kicks
8	10
Passes
57% (162/285)	77% (383/495)
Long passes
22% (21/97)	43% (36/84)
Passes in final third
40% (51/129)	54% (76/142)
Crosses
14% (2/14)	20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.60	0.94
Throw ins
26	22
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
53% (8/15)	40% (2/5)
Duels won
44	53
Clearances
21	24
Interceptions
9	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.41	0.15
Goals prevented
0.41	0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Stirk R. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
18', Curtis S. 🟨,
45+2', McFadzean K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dickson W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
55', Gordon J. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
58', Rose D. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Berry-McNally J. ⚽,
64', Canavan N. ↓, McCann C. ↑,
72', Mandeville L. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
73', Curtis S. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
82', Mahoney C. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
82', Newby E. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
83', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
89', McCann C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Barrow
27.1%

Draw
28.1%

Chesterfield
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.7%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Barrow - Chesterfield Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.99)	3.32 ↓ (3.45)	2.08 ↓ (2.16)	7.3% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Barrow - Chesterfield?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 15.4% – 84.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Chesterfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Chesterfield might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F. (Injury) Hemmings K. (Injury) Raglan C. (Inactive)
There will not play in Chesterfield: Gordon L. (Injury) Grigg W. (Injury) Hobson B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Barrow: Newby E. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Ladapo F. (Inactive) Pearce T. (Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Chesterfield?

Barrow has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Barrow?

Chesterfield has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Chesterfield were as follows:

02.08.2025 Chesterfield - Barrow 1:0

29.03.2025 Barrow - Chesterfield 0:1

23.11.2024 Chesterfield - Barrow 1:0

Latest results of Barrow

03.04.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 0:0 ✺

28.03.2026 Barrow - Bromley 2:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Grimsby Town - Barrow 5:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Salford City - Barrow 3:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Barrow - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Chesterfield

03.04.2026 Chesterfield - Cheltenham Town 1:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Accrington Stanley - Chesterfield 0:1 ✺

17.03.2026 Chesterfield - Oldham Athletic 0:3 ✺

14.03.2026 Notts County - Chesterfield 2:3 ✺

07.03.2026 Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town 2:3 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	MK Dons ✔	45	24	13	8	85:44	41	85
2	Bromley ✔	45	23	15	7	68:45	23	84
3	Cambridge Utd	45	22	15	8	66:33	33	81
4	Salford	45	25	5	15	61:51	10	80
5	Notts Co	45	24	7	14	73:51	22	79
6	Grimsby	45	22	11	12	73:49	24	77
7	Chesterfield	45	20	16	9	69:55	14	76
8	Swindon	45	22	9	14	69:57	12	75
9	Barnet	45	20	13	12	68:52	16	73
10	Crewe	45	19	9	17	64:58	6	66
11	Oldham	45	17	14	14	57:44	13	65
12	Walsall	45	18	11	16	55:53	2	65
13	Colchester	45	17	12	16	58:48	10	63
14	Bristol Rovers	45	19	4	22	55:64	-9	61
15	Fleetwood	45	15	15	15	56:57	-1	60
16	Accrington	45	14	11	20	47:55	-8	53
17	Cheltenham	45	14	10	21	52:75	-23	52
18	Gillingham	45	12	14	19	52:72	-20	50
19	Shrewsbury	45	13	10	22	42:68	-26	49
20	Tranmere	45	10	10	25	53:78	-25	40
21	Newport	45	11	7	27	46:76	-30	40
22	Crawley	45	8	15	22	44:68	-24	39
23	Harrogate	45	10	9	26	38:66	-28	39
24	Barrow	45	9	9	27	44:76	-32	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

MK Dons is Qualified for League One
Bromley is Qualified for League One