Result
2:1
03/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 27
- Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Wolfram M. ⚽,
- 12', 1 - 1, Bar M. ⚽,
- 20', Gunther-Schmidt J. 🟨,
- 25', Collins J. 🟨,
- 30', Reinthaler M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 2 - 1, Haugen S. ⚽, Voet S. (A),
- 62', Malone R. 🟨,
- 65', Gunther-Schmidt J. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,
- 67', Wolfram M. ↓, Steinkotter J. ↑,
- 74', Stefaniak M. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
- 81', Simnica L. ↓, Fabisch J. ↑,
- 81', Guttau J. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
- 82', Volland K. ↓, Hobsch P. ↑,
- 82', Rittmuller M. ↓, Lippmann C. ↑,
- 90', Haugen S. ↓, Niederlechner F. ↑,
- 90+2', Fallmann P. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5n7j49mv
Chances of winning
1860 München
49.2% | Draw
26.1% | Erzgebirge Aue
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
1860 München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.82) |
3.59 ↓
(3.78) |
3.79 ↓
(3.83) |
7%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for 1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
1860 München will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1860 München will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 0.
- 1860 München is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aue is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- 1860 München may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, 1860 München is considered a favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, 1860 München won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has 1860 München won against Erzgebirge Aue?
1860 München has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against 1860 München?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between 1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
27.09.2025
Erzgebirge Aue
-
1860 München
2:0
17.05.2025
1860 München
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:1
21.12.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
1860 München
3:1
03.02.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
1860 München
0:0
02.09.2023
1860 München
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:2
Latest results of 1860 München
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 52 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 53:39 | 14 | 52 |
| 3 | Duisburg | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 47:33 | 14 | 47 |
| 4 | Verl | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 61:40 | 21 | 45 |
| 5 | Munich 1860 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 44:37 | 7 | 45 |
| 6 | Wehen | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 40:29 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Hansa Rostock | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:30 | 14 | 43 |
| 8 | RW Essen | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 50:44 | 6 | 43 |
| 9 | Mannheim | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 43:47 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Viktoria Koln | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 38:35 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Ingolstadt | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 45:36 | 9 | 36 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 51:48 | 3 | 35 |
| 13 | Regensburg | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Stuttgart II | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | Alemannia Aachen | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 32 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 29 |
| 17 | Aue | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30:45 | -15 | 24 |
| 18 | Ulm | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 35:55 | -20 | 24 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 36:56 | -20 | 20 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 26 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 23:61 | -38 | 11 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
