Guaraní Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano
Result
1:3
18/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 19
Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.671.19
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
79% (457/582)61% (180/294)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.671.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.012.34
Total shots
816
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
925
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
79% (457/582)61% (180/294)
Long passes
33% (19/57)34% (29/86)
Passes in final third
63% (92/146)51% (66/129)
Crosses
7% (1/15)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.421.11
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
1113
Tackles
79% (15/19)81% (17/21)
Duels won
5255
Clearances
1429
Interceptions
416
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.341.01
Goals prevented
-0.750.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Valdez I. , Bogado G. (A),
  • 4', 0 - 2, Valdez I. , Paez A. (A),
  • 6', Bogado G. 🟨,
  • 34', Maiz A. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 3, Paez A. ,
  • 42', Benitez Cabrera A. J. , Barbotte A. ,
  • 42', Cantero A. , Ibarrola W. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Barrientos N. , Cespedes V. ,
  • 61', Mendieta W. , Pinatares B. ,
  • 63', Bogado G. , Zaracho E. ,
  • 63', Paez A. , Allan Wlk ,
  • 63', Samudio A. , Leon M. ,
  • 67', Manzur A. , Coronel P. ,
  • 73', Valdez I. , Barja B. ,
  • 81', Baez F. , Falabella L. ,
  • 87', 1 - 3, Fernandez D. , Ramirez I. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Guaraní Asuncion
42.2%
Draw
29.3%
Sportivo Ameliano
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 28.6% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 27.8% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.02)
    3.16
    (3.25)
    3.26
    (3.65)
    8.1%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Sportivo Ameliano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Guaraní will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
    10.03.2025 Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion 2:0
    12.10.2024 Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano 1:1
    02.10.2024 Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion 1:2
    07.08.2024 Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion 2:2
    03.05.2024 Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní Asuncion 0:3
    Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Trinidense22008:536
    2Cerro Porteno22004:136
    3Sp. Luqueno22003:036
    4Nacional Asuncion21102:114
    5Guarani21013:213
    6Ameliano21011:103
    7Olimpia Asuncion20114:5-11
    8Libertad Asuncion20110:1-11
    92 de Mayo20111:3-21
    10Atl. Tembetary10010:1-10
    11Recoleta10012:4-20
    12General Caballero JLM20021:5-40

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
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