Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League
Result
3:4
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.02
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
74% (223/300)87% (464/535)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.02
xG on target (xGOT)
2.411.56
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1625
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
106
Passes
74% (223/300)87% (464/535)
Long passes
33% (19/58)33% (12/36)
Passes in final third
61% (57/93)79% (139/175)
Crosses
19% (3/16)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.951.30
Throw-ins
2622
Fouls
612
Tackles
57% (4/7)41% (7/17)
Duels won
3643
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
33
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.562.41
Goals prevented
-2.44-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Ito T. ⚽, Erison (A),
  • 12', Maruyama Y. ↓, Kamihashi R. ↑,
  • 17', 0 - 2, Erison ⚽, Yamamoto Y. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 2, Mori S. ⚽, Inagaki S. (A),
  • 45+3', 2 - 2, Hara T. ⚽, Mori S. (A),
  • 45+4', Erison 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Fujii H. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
  • 51', Junker K. 🟥,
  • 65', Nakayama K. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
  • 66', Morishima T. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
  • 77', Ozeki Y. ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
  • 78', Kimura Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
  • 80', 2 - 3, Erison ⚽, Kamihashi R. (A),
  • 81', 3 - 3, Izumi R. ⚽, Nagai K. (A),
  • 86', Izumi R. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
  • 87', Mikuni K. 🟨,
  • 88', Nogami Y. 🟨,
  • 89', Kawahara S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Tachibanada K. ↓, Mochiyama K. ↑,
  • 90+5', 3 - 4, Ito T. ⚽,
  • 90+6', Ito T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
34%		Draw
27.3%		Kawasaki Frontale
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 28.2% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 28.4% 37.8%

Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.88 ↑
(2.8)		 3.5 ↑
(3.33)		 2.43 ↓
(2.47)		 4.6%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Nagoya (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3.
    • Nagoya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kawasaki is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kawasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Kikuchi T. (Knee Injury) Mateus (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S. (Calf Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Marcinho (Yellow Cards) Oshima R. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Nagoya Grampus 4:0
    22.09.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale 2:0
    02.06.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Nagoya Grampus 2:1
    01.07.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale 2:0
    15.04.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Nagoya Grampus 1:2
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    16.08.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺
    13.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 1:2 ✺
    10.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺
    20.07.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 3:0 ✺
    16.07.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Roasso Kumamoto 2:1
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    16.08.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1 ✺
    09.08.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Avispa Fukuoka 2:5 ✺
    20.07.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺
    16.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Sagamihara 0:1 ✺
    05.07.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Mito000000:00
    2Verdy000000:00
    3Yokohama F. Marinos000000:00
    4Kawasaki Frontale000000:00
    5Kashiwa Reysol000000:00
    6Chiba000000:00
    7Urawa Reds000000:00
    8FC Tokyo000000:00
    9Kashima Antlers000000:00
    10Machida000000:00


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Avispa Fukuoka000000:00
    2Cerezo Osaka000000:00
    3Kyoto000000:00
    4Nagoya Grampus000000:00
    5Shimizu S-Pulse000000:00
    6Vissel Kobe000000:00
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima000000:00
    8Gamba Osaka000000:00
    9Okayama000000:00
    10V-Varen Nagasaki000000:00

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