Result
3:4
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (223/300) | 87% (464/535) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (223/300) | 87% (464/535) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (19/58) | 33% (12/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (57/93) | 79% (139/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 41% (7/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.56 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.44 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Ito T. ⚽, Erison (A),
- 12', Maruyama Y. ↓, Kamihashi R. ↑,
- 17', 0 - 2, Erison ⚽, Yamamoto Y. (A),
- 32', 1 - 2, Mori S. ⚽, Inagaki S. (A),
- 45+3', 2 - 2, Hara T. ⚽, Mori S. (A),
- 45+4', Erison 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Fujii H. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
- 51', Junker K. 🟥,
- 65', Nakayama K. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
- 66', Morishima T. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
- 77', Ozeki Y. ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
- 78', Kimura Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 3, Erison ⚽, Kamihashi R. (A),
- 81', 3 - 3, Izumi R. ⚽, Nagai K. (A),
- 86', Izumi R. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
- 87', Mikuni K. 🟨,
- 88', Nogami Y. 🟨,
- 89', Kawahara S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Tachibanada K. ↓, Mochiyama K. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 4, Ito T. ⚽,
- 90+6', Ito T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus
34% | Draw
27.3% | Kawasaki Frontale
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↑
(2.8) |
3.5 ↑
(3.33) |
2.43 ↓
(2.47) |
4.6%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3.
- Nagoya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kawasaki is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kawasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Kikuchi T.
(Knee Injury)
Mateus
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S.
(Calf Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
Marcinho
(Yellow Cards)
Oshima R.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Nagoya Grampus has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Nagoya Grampus?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
15.02.2025
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Nagoya Grampus
4:0
22.09.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kawasaki Frontale
2:0
02.06.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:1
01.07.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kawasaki Frontale
2:0
15.04.2023
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:2
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 47:30 | 17 | 51 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
| 3 | Machida | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 33:19 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 42 |
| 9 | Okayama | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 26:23 | 3 | 39 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 37 |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 | Verdy | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:41 | -12 | 30 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33:41 | -8 | 28 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22:42 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
