Result
2:0
28/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 12
- Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 10 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (222/323) | 82% (344/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (222/323) | 82% (344/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (21/69) | 52% (30/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (64/110) | 65% (54/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Bokangu B. ⚽, Bouabdelli W. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zaouai A. ↓, Petrignani M. ↑,
- 46', Julloux A. 🟨,
- 49', Sebas J. 🟨,
- 64', Tomi F. 🟨,
- 69', Tomi F. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
- 69', Sebas J. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
- 70', Parravicini N. ↓, Roncaglia A. ↑,
- 73', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Ztouti Z. ↑,
- 81', Guidi D. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
- 84', Bokangu B. ↓, Dabasse A. ↑,
- 88', Carlier M. ↓, Suljic C. ↑,
- 89', Bamba R. ↓, Nahounou Y. ↑,
- 89', Ouotro P. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 0, Saint-Ruf N. ⚽, Bouriaud T. (A),
Chances of winning
Nancy
37.9% | Draw
30.6% | Bastia
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Nancy - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.35) |
3.08 ↓
(3.35) |
2.98 ↑
(2.87) |
6.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nancy - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 33.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nancy (votes: 1 - 50%). Bastia (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 3.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Nancy: El Hansar C.
(Injury)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Mendy E.
(Red Card)
Nahounou Y.
(Inactive)
Ouotro P.
(Injury)
Sidibe O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G.
(Knee Injury)
Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Boutrah A.
(Injury)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nancy: Fdaouch Z.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Bastia?
Nancy has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Nancy?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Bastia were as follows:
29.11.2024
Bastia
-
Nancy
2:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27:14 | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 33:22 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Red Star | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Reims | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:20 | 8 | 25 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 17:14 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | Le Mans | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | Guingamp | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Dunkerque | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:18 | 8 | 21 |
| 10 | Annecy | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 11 | Clermont | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Rodez | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Laval | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Amiens | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Nancy | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 15 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 18 | Bastia | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
