Result
1:0
03/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (223/307) | 78% (324/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (223/307) | 78% (324/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (20/64) | 57% (33/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (32/62) | 62% (73/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 45% (9/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.80 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Vidal C. 🟨,
- 13', Sebas J. 🟨,
- 25', Vincent C. 🟨,
- 29', Zahui N. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Sebas J. ⚽, Bohnert F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Petrignani M. ↓, Basset D. ↑,
- 64', Guevara J. 🟨,
- 69', Sarikaya E. ↓, Mouyokolo L. ↑,
- 69', Valls T. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
- 76', Sebas J. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
- 76', Boutrah A. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
- 77', Xantippe M. ↓, Mion M. ↑,
- 77', Zahui N. ↓, Kerouedan A. ↑,
- 81', Vidal C. ↓, Bechikh M. ↑,
- 90+1', Paquiez G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Janneh J. ↓, Lebas P. ↑,
- 90+5', Bohnert F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bastia
43.8% | Draw
30.2% | Grenoble
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Bastia - Grenoble Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.16) |
3.08
(3.08) |
3.59 ↑
(3.54) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bastia - Grenoble?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Grenoble will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 35% – 88%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Grenoble (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Grenoble will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenoble (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 1.
- Bastia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Grenoble has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bastia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G.
(Knee Injury)
Ariss Z.
(Yellow Cards)
Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Ducrocq T.
(Yellow Cards)
Guidi D.
(Inactive)
Janneh J.
(Inactive)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
- There will not play in Grenoble: Diop M.
(Injury)
Mouazan B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bastia: Guevara J.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Grenoble?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grenoble won against Bastia?
Grenoble has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Grenoble were as follows:
26.09.2025
Grenoble
-
Bastia
0:0
25.04.2025
Bastia
-
Grenoble
2:3
03.01.2025
Grenoble
-
Bastia
3:2
02.03.2024
Bastia
-
Grenoble
1:0
02.09.2023
Grenoble
-
Bastia
0:0
Latest results of Grenoble
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National
