Result
3:0
07/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 15
- Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (193/265) | 81% (324/399) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (193/265) | 81% (324/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (34/64) | 46% (19/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (62/87) | 58% (61/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.80 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Doh M. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Ulgun O. ⚽, Pereira P. (A),
- 40', Ulgun O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Ulgun O. ↓, Mimaroglu M. ↑,
- 62', Johnson D. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Koita S. ⚽, Mimaroglu M. (A),
- 72', Doh M. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Mimaroglu M. ⚽,
- 76', Grbic I. 🟨,
- 77', Gurpuz G. ↓, Onyekuru H. ↑,
- 81', Roco E. ↓, Kurukalip C. ↑,
- 86', Tongya F. ↓, Varesanovic D. ↑,
- 86', Koita S. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
- 86', Niang M. ↓, Ayaz Ozcan F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gençlerbirliği
45.7% | Draw
27.9% | Fatih Karagümrükspor
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Gençlerbirliği - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.29) |
3.4 ↑
(3.34) |
3.57 ↑
(3.12) |
5.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gençlerbirliği: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Karagümrük may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Gençlerbirliği has had a series of away games.
- Gençlerbirliği will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Durmaz E.
(Suspended)
Etebo P.
(Muscle Injury)
Kyabou M.
(Knee Injury)
Sahindere A.
(Knee Injury)
Unal E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Balkovec J.
(Yellow Cards)
Beklevic F.
(Suspended)
Sivri A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Akkan G.
(Injury)
Kemaloglu E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Karagümrük: Larsson S.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gençlerbirliği won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Gençlerbirliği has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Gençlerbirliği?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gençlerbirliği - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
13.04.2025
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Gençlerbirliği
0:0
08.12.2024
Gençlerbirliği
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:0
Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:18 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 54:23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21:45 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
