Derby County vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
18/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 43
  • Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Ultra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.67
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
63% (192/307)56% (128/227)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.540.53
Total shots
148
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
3820
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
139
Passes
63% (192/307)56% (128/227)
Long passes
41% (28/69)22% (13/58)
Passes in final third
61% (84/137)44% (35/80)
Crosses
17% (7/41)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.410.31
Fouls
913
Tackles
65% (11/17)63% (5/8)
Duels won
8362
Clearances Total
3081
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.530.54
Goals prevented
-0.470.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Alli M. ,
  • 15', Mendez-Laing N. , Jackson K. ,
  • 29', Langas S. 🟨,
  • 38', Morris C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 68', Alli M. 🟨,
  • 72', Dabo L. , Mengi T. ,
  • 73', Jones I. , Burke R. ,
  • 76', Langas S. , Goudmijn K. ,
  • 81', Clark J. , Nakamba M. ,
  • 81', Morris C. , Nordas L. ,
  • 90+3', Armstrong H. , Barkhuizen T. ,
  • 90+4', Alli M. , Chong T. ,
  • 90+5', Jackson K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
38.3%
Draw
32.3%
Luton Town
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 28.2% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 28.8% 28.3%

Derby County - Luton Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.48
(2.14)
2.95
(3.35)
3.25
(3.41)
5.1%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Derby County - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: Derby County will win (34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%94.45%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derby County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Derby will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Nyambe R. (Injury) Osborn B. (Hamstring Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Roofe K. (Hamstring Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury) Ward J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Elder C. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Doughty A. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Luton Town were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Luton Town - Derby County 2:1
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Luton Town
    08.04.2025 Stoke City - Luton Town 1:1
    05.04.2025 Luton Town - Leeds United 1:1
    29.03.2025 Hull City - Luton Town 0:1
    15.03.2025 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 0:0
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry24156354:252951
    2Middlesbrough24127533:25843
    3Ipswich24118540:231741
    4Hull24125740:37341
    5Millwall24116727:32-539
    6Watford24108634:29538
    7Preston24910531:25637
    8Bristol City24106833:27636
    9QPR24105934:37-335
    10Stoke241041029:23634
    11Wrexham24810634:31334
    12Leicester2497834:34034
    13Southampton2488838:34432
    14Derby2488833:33032
    15Birmingham2487932:31131
    16West Brom24941128:32-431
    17Sheffield Utd24921333:37-429
    18Swansea24851125:31-629
    19Blackburn23761022:26-427
    20Charlton23761022:29-727
    21Portsmouth23671021:30-925
    22Oxford Utd24571224:33-922
    23Norwich24561326:36-1021
    24Sheffield Wed23181418:45-27-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One