Derby County vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Derby County - Luton Town
Result
0:1
18/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 43
  • Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Ultra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.67
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
63% (192/307)56% (128/227)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.540.53
Total shots
148
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
3820
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
139
Passes
63% (192/307)56% (128/227)
Long passes
41% (28/69)22% (13/58)
Passes in final third
61% (84/137)44% (35/80)
Crosses
17% (7/41)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.410.31
Fouls
913
Tackles
65% (11/17)63% (5/8)
Duels won
8362
Clearances Total
3081
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.530.54
Goals prevented
-0.470.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Alli M. ,
  • 15', Mendez-Laing N. , Jackson K. ,
  • 29', Langas S. 🟨,
  • 38', Morris C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 68', Alli M. 🟨,
  • 72', Dabo L. , Mengi T. ,
  • 73', Jones I. , Burke R. ,
  • 76', Langas S. , Goudmijn K. ,
  • 81', Clark J. , Nakamba M. ,
  • 81', Morris C. , Nordas L. ,
  • 90+3', Armstrong H. , Barkhuizen T. ,
  • 90+4', Alli M. , Chong T. ,
  • 90+5', Jackson K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
38.3%
Draw
32.3%
Luton Town
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 28.2% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 28.8% 28.3%

Derby County - Luton Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.48
(2.14)
2.95
(3.35)
3.25
(3.41)
5.1%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Derby County - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: Derby County will win (34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%94.45%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derby County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Derby will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Nyambe R. (Injury) Osborn B. (Hamstring Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Roofe K. (Hamstring Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury) Ward J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Elder C. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Doughty A. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Luton Town were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Luton Town - Derby County 2:1
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Luton Town
    08.04.2025 Stoke City - Luton Town 1:1
    05.04.2025 Luton Town - Leeds United 1:1
    29.03.2025 Hull City - Luton Town 0:1
    15.03.2025 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 0:0
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry15104140:132734
    2Middlesbrough1585219:13629
    3Stoke1583421:101127
    4Preston1575320:14626
    5Hull1574426:24225
    6Millwall1574417:20-325
    7Ipswich1465326:161023
    8Bristol City1565422:18423
    9Charlton1565416:12423
    10Derby1565420:19123
    11Birmingham1563620:17321
    12Leicester1556418:16221
    13Wrexham1556420:19121
    14West Brom1563614:16-221
    15Watford1555519:18120
    16QPR1554617:23-619
    17Southampton1546518:21-318
    18Swansea1545615:19-417
    19Blackburn1451814:19-516
    20Portsmouth1535712:20-814
    21Oxford Utd1534816:22-613
    22Sheffield Utd15311111:26-1510
    23Norwich15231014:23-99
    24Sheffield Wed1515912:29-17-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One