Raith Rovers vs Ayr United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy).

Championship - Round 31

Match Stats


Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
8	4
Shots on target
6	1
Corner kicks
5	4
Yellow cards
1	1
Total shots
8	4
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
2	3
Corner kicks
5	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Cameron I. ⚽, Stevenson L. (A),
28', McAllister N. ↓, Want S. ↑,
39', Hanlon P. ↓, O'Connor D. ↑,
44', Rowe J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', McRoberts L. ↓, Turley F. ↑,
46', Winter A. ↓, Mullin J. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Cameron I. ⚽, Mullin J. (A),
61', Montagu K. ↓, Chin R. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Chin R. ⚽,
68', Matthews R. ↓, Brown S. ↑,
68', Easton D. ↓, Vaughan L. ↑,
77', Rus M. ↓, Summers B. ↑,
77', McMann S. ↓, Bonnar J. ↑,
81', Bannigan S. ↓, Hislop J. ↑,
81', Turley F. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Raith Rovers
37.9%

Draw
30.8%

Ayr United
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.9%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

26%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Raith Rovers - Ayr United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.27)	3 ↓ (3.18)	3 (3)	7.4% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Raith Rovers - Ayr United?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Raith will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raith: 15.4% – 84.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 2.
Recent performances by Raith have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ayr is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Ayr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Raith won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Raith won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Raith Rovers won against Ayr United?

Raith Rovers has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Raith Rovers?

Ayr United has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Raith Rovers - Ayr United were as follows:

31.01.2026 Ayr United - Raith Rovers 2:1

11.10.2025 Raith Rovers - Ayr United 0:2

09.08.2025 Ayr United - Raith Rovers 0:1

05.04.2025 Raith Rovers - Ayr United 1:0

04.01.2025 Ayr United - Raith Rovers 3:0

Latest results of Raith Rovers

24.03.2026 Raith Rovers - Partick Thistle 0:2 ✺

21.03.2026 Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians 3:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers 3:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Ross County - Raith Rovers 2:0 ✺

25.02.2026 Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Ayr United

21.03.2026 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 0:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Queens Park - Ayr United 1:1 ✺

10.03.2026 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:2 ✺

03.03.2026 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1 ✺

28.02.2026 St. Johnstone - Ayr United 3:1 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	33	19	11	3	62:25	37	68
2	Partick Thistle	33	17	12	4	50:33	17	63
3	Arbroath	33	12	11	10	41:40	1	47
4	Dunfermline	32	13	7	12	48:37	11	46
5	Raith	32	10	9	13	37:36	1	39
6	Ayr	33	8	15	10	36:42	-6	39
7	Queen's Park	32	9	12	11	34:43	-9	39
8	Morton	33	8	12	13	35:47	-12	36
9	Airdrieonians	32	7	9	16	28:43	-15	30
10	Ross County	33	6	10	17	28:53	-25	28

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One