RB Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League
Soccer UEFA Champions League RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon
Result
2:1
22/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)
RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.300.79
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1017
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
19
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
09
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
615
Offsides
33
Fouls
156
Yellow Cards
30
Throw-ins
2022
Touches in the Opposition Box
1830
Passes
82% (376/457)83% (413/498)
Passes in the final third
64% (57/89)72% (103/143)
Crosses
33% (2/6)14% (3/22)
Tackles
70% (16/23)61% (11/18)
Clearances Total
3416
Interceptions
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Sesko B. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
  • 29', St. Juste J. ↓, Inacio G. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Debast Z. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
  • 55', Catamo G. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
  • 55', Harder C. ↓, Gyokeres V. ↑,
  • 61', Raum D. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
  • 61', Simons X. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
  • 62', Openda L. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
  • 69', Haidara A. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Gyokeres V. ⚽, Braganca D. (A),
  • 76', Fresneda I. ↓, Esgaio R. ↑,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Poulsen Y. ⚽, Baumgartner C. (A),
  • 79', Raum D. 🟨,
  • 84', Baumgartner C. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
  • 86', Vandevoordt M. 🟨,
  • 87', Orban W. 🟨,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
31.3%		Draw
25.6%		Sporting Lisbon
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 26.5% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 27.1% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-1%)
    •

    RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.08 ↑
    (2.97)    		 3.74 ↑
    (3.6)    		 2.23 ↓
    (2.32)    		 4%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (97 of 118 users predict this - 82.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 89.1%. The data is statistically significant.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sporting is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • RB Leipzig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Sporting will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Andre Silva (Calf Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury) Matheus Reis (Thigh Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Quaresma E. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    18.01.2025 Bochum - RB Leipzig 3:3 ✺
    15.01.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 2:1 ✺
    12.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen 4:2 ✺
    20.12.2024 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 5:1 ✺
    15.12.2024 RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    18.01.2025 Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon 0:3 ✺
    11.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 1:2 ✺
    07.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 1:0 ✺
    03.01.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon 4:4 ✺
    29.12.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF
    3ZalgirisHamrun
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5PafosBye
    6ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9NoahBuducnost
    10ByeFerencvaros
    11Lech PoznanBye
    12EgnatiaBreidablik
    13FC CopenhagenBye
    14DritaDifferdange
    15RijekaBye
    16LudogoretsDin. Minsk
    17TNSShkendija
    18FCSBInter Escaldes
    19Slovan BratislavaBye
    20VirtusZrinjski
    21ShelbourneLinfield
    22ByeQarabag
    23KuPSMilsami
    24O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    27PlzenBye
    28ByeServette
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Dyn. Kyiv
    3PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4TBD #7Crvena zvezda
    5TBD #9Ferencvaros
    6Lech PoznanTBD #12
    7FC CopenhagenTBD #14
    8RijekaTBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Slovan BratislavaTBD #20
    11TBD #21Qarabag
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13BrannSalzburg
    14PlzenServette
    15RangersPanathinaikos
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