Result
0:1
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 29
- Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (409/503) | 67% (193/290) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (409/503) | 67% (193/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (30/64) | 39% (26/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (145/203) | 48% (55/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 69% (18/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Rodgers H. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Tovide S. 🟨,
- 57', Tovide S. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
- 57', Terry F. ↓, Gape D. ↑,
- 61', Green K. 🟨,
- 65', Soonsup-Bell J. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
- 66', Green K. 🟨,
- 69', Burns D. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
- 70', Vernam C. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
- 75', Cook A. 🟨,
- 76', Gape D. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 81', Lisbie K. 🟨,
- 82', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
- 82', Rodgers H. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
- 83', Edwards O. ↓, Akande A. ↑,
- 90+10', Araujo H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Colchester United
39.6% | Draw
29.2% | Grimsby Town
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Colchester United - Grimsby Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.28) |
3.22 ↓
(3.25) |
3.01 ↑
(2.9) |
6.6%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Colchester United - Grimsby Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 4% – 71%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Colchester (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Colchester (1.95) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.25 - Colchester (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Colchester (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Colchester (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Colchester (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Colchester (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Grimsby (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 10)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 4.
- Colchester is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Grimsby is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Colchester might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Grimsby Town?
Colchester United has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Colchester United?
Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Grimsby Town were as follows:
11.10.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Colchester United
1:2
28.03.2025
Colchester United
-
Grimsby Town
1:2
23.11.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Colchester United
0:1
16.04.2024
Colchester United
-
Grimsby Town
2:0
24.10.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Colchester United
2:3
Latest results of Colchester United
Latest results of Grimsby Town
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
