Result
1:1
10/03/2026 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN, ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (203/298) | 76% (337/443) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (203/298) | 76% (337/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 45% (39/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (69/116) | 61% (64/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Silvero T. 🟨,
- 13', Lopez S. 🟨,
- 21', Magallan L. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Romero D. ⚽, Alvarez F. (A),
- 37', Romero D. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Moreno V. ↓, Garay M. ↑,
- 52', Leyes B. 🟨,
- 63', Veron A. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
- 63', Monzon F. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Romero B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 69', Laso J. 🟨,
- 74', Godoy D. 🟨,
- 80', Lanzini M. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
- 80', Baeza C. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
- 81', Lopez S. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 81', Serrago T. ↓, Medina S. ↑,
- 90+1', Robertone L. ↓, Feler L. ↑,
- 90+2', Andrada T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Romero B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tigre
35.7% | Draw
34.2% | Vélez Sársfield
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Tigre - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.63) |
2.76 ↓
(2.95) |
3.13 ↑
(3) |
6%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Tigre - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tigre will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tigre (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Vélez (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Tigre (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tigre (votes: 2 - 40%). Vélez (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 1.
- Recent performances by Tigre have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vélez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tigre won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tigre won against Vélez Sársfield?
Tigre has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Tigre?
Vélez Sársfield has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tigre - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
14.07.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
Tigre
2:1
23.01.2025
Tigre
-
Vélez Sársfield
3:0
07.11.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Tigre
1:0
26.02.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Tigre
2:2
29.09.2023
Tigre
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:0
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Independiente | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Tigre | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Argentinos Jrs | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Banfield | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
