Result
1:0
10/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Zamora D. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (388/443) | 68% (127/186) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (388/443) | 68% (127/186) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (24/48) | 47% (20/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (119/153) | 53% (24/45) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 56% (14/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Zelarayan L. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
- 41', Velazquez J. ↓, Sporle A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Guzman N. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
- 51', Rigoni E. 🟥,
- 51', Werner A. 🟨,
- 56', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 57', Leys F. ↓, Cordero N. ↑,
- 57', Fernandez N. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
- 60', Garcia M. ↓, Marquez De Meneses R. L. ↑,
- 61', De La Vega F. ↓, Palavecino A. ↑,
- 68', Arias J. 🟨,
- 72', Palavecino A. 🟨,
- 77', Lopez L. ↓, Maldonado A. ↑,
- 77', Vazquez F. ↓, Longo S. ↑,
- 78', Fernandez T. 🟨,
- 86', Morello M. ↓, Villarreal A. ↑,
- 90+3', Roman F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Belgrano
64.5% | Draw
24.7% | Aldosivi
10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belgrano's performance.Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aldosivi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belgrano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldosivi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Belgrano - Aldosivi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.71) |
3.8 ↑
(3.38) |
8.72 ↑
(5.2) |
5.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Belgrano - Aldosivi?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Belgrano (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Belgrano will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Belgrano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
- In recent matches, Belgrano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aldosivi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Belgrano is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Belgrano: Benitez Cabrera A. J.
(Yellow Cards)
Lopez L.
(Muscle Injury)
Sporle A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Aldosivi: Enrique G.
(Inactive)
Fernandez T.
(Inactive)
Gino F.
(Yellow Cards)
Guzman N.
(Inactive)
Moyano S.
(Knee Injury)
Rolon E.
(Yellow Cards)
Zalazar N.
(Red Card)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Belgrano won against Aldosivi?
Belgrano has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aldosivi won against Belgrano?
Aldosivi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Aldosivi were as follows:
15.08.2025
Aldosivi
-
Belgrano
0:0
11.02.2025
Belgrano
-
Aldosivi
2:0
Latest results of Belgrano
Latest results of Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Independiente | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Platense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | River Plate | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Racing Club | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4:19 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
