Result
2:0
22/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (191/276) | 78% (287/366) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (191/276) | 78% (287/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (24/68) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (44/90) | 65% (71/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 32% (11/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', Diego Churin 🟥,
- 45', 1 - 0, Zabala C. ⚽, Gomez J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Roman F. ↓, Guzman N. ↑,
- 47', Gino F. 🟨,
- 57', Gino F. ↓, Rolon E. ↑,
- 58', Gonzalez R. ↓, Enrique G. ↑,
- 67', Arias J. ↓, Cordero N. ↑,
- 71', Gomez J. ↓, Salle S. ↑,
- 77', Garcia M. ↓, Villarreal A. ↑,
- 77', Zabala C. ↓, Contrera J. ↑,
- 81', Salle S. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 0, Marabel J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', Marabel J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Contrera J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Leys F. 🟨,
- 90+2', Pasquini N. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
- 90+2', Marabel J. ↓, Magnin P. ↑,
- 90+2', Villalba C. ↓, Alaggia F. ↑,
- 90+4', Rolon E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sarmiento de Junín
42.9% | Draw
32.8% | Aldosivi
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.09) |
2.87 ↓
(2.97) |
3.85 ↑
(3.75) |
6.3%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Sarmiento (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 4.
- Sarmiento is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aldosivi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sarmiento could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Diaz G.
(Red Card)
Godoy J.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez G.
(Knee Injury)
Magnin P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N.
(Knee Injury)
Moyano S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against Aldosivi?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aldosivi won against Sarmiento de Junín?
Aldosivi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi were as follows:
13.09.2025
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Aldosivi
2:0
01.03.2025
Aldosivi
-
Sarmiento de Junín
2:2
03.09.2022
Aldosivi
-
Sarmiento de Junín
1:2
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Latest results of Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 25 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Platense | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | River Plate | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Banfield | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4:19 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
