Result
 
                    3:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/09/2025 at  07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Virsliga - Round 30
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV | 
 World | Onefootball | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.31 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 47% | 53% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 6 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (241/337) | 76% (295/386) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.31 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.08 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 6 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 25 | 12 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 10 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (241/337) | 76% (295/386) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 46% (32/70) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 59% (75/128) | 56% (55/99) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 15% (3/20) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.63 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 25 | 33 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 10 | 11 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 82% (9/11) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 58 | 38 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 35 | 32 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.94 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.06 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
 - 1', 0 - 1, Rekis K. ⚽, Cinajevs D. (A), 
 - 11', 1 - 1, Kamara M. (Own goal), 
 - 2nd Half (2 - 1)
 - 46', Rekis K. ↓, Bangura A. ↑, 
 - 46', Valmiers D. 🟨, 
 - 52', 2 - 1, Pulis I. ⚽, Dusalijevs N. (A), 
 - 62', Cesnieks K. ↓, Kamara S. ↑, 
 - 62', Ivulans M. ↓, Saleh S. ↑, 
 - 66', Valmiers D. ↓, Kholod A. ↑, 
 - 66', Nagasawa M. ↓, Kirss R. ↑, 
 - 68', Molotkovs A. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑, 
 - 69', Pulis I. 🟨, 
 - 80', Toba J. ↓, Joksts H. ↑, 
 - 80', Samoilovs B. ↓, Kurokawa A. ↑, 
 - 87', 3 - 1, Pulis I. (Pen), 
 - 87', Vilnis K. ↓, Minkevics I. ↑, 
 - 90+4', 3 - 2, Kangars A. ⚽, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Tukums 2000  52.9% | Draw  25.9% | Metta LU  21.2% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Tukums 2000 - Metta LU Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.85 ↓ (1.9) | 
			   3.79 ↑ (3.65) | 
			   4.63 ↑ (3.45) | 
			   1.9% (9%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 2.
 - Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
  - Tukums 2000 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
 - In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.4:1.3).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against Metta LU?
                    
                    
                        
                            Tukums 2000 has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Metta LU won against Tukums 2000?
                    
                    
                        
                             Metta LU has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - Metta LU were as follows:
                                                        
                                02.07.2025 
                                Metta LU 
                                - 
                                Tukums 2000 
                                0:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                11.05.2025 
                                Tukums 2000 
                                - 
                                Metta LU 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                16.03.2025 
                                Metta LU 
                                - 
                                Tukums 2000 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.10.2024 
                                Tukums 2000 
                                - 
                                Metta LU 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.07.2024 
                                Metta LU 
                                - 
                                Tukums 2000 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Tukums 2000                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Metta LU                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Riga FC ✔  | 35 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 82:22 | 60 | 88 | 
| 2 | RFS ✔  | 35 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 96:36 | 60 | 84 | 
| 3 | FK Liepaja ✔  | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 59:52 | 7 | 61 | 
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 51:59 | -8 | 48 | 
| 5 | Auda ✔  | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 42:47 | -5 | 44 | 
| 6 | Jelgava | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 38:45 | -7 | 37 | 
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 38:62 | -24 | 35 | 
| 8 | Grobina | 35 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 31:62 | -31 | 31 | 
| 9 | Super Nova | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 29 | 
| 10 | Metta | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 36:73 | -37 | 28 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Virsliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Riga FC is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
RFS is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
FK Liepaja is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Auda is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )