Result
4:1
23/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (370/444) | 77% (215/280) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.49 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (370/444) | 77% (215/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (46/76) | 29% (15/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (69/100) | 44% (27/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 3.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 37', 1 - 0, Orozco Y. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Cuesta J. ⚽, Zapata J. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 53', 2 - 1, Orozco Y. ⚽, Berrios J. (A),
- 56', Silva M. 🟥,
- 58', Machis D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
- 62', 3 - 1, Alegria J. ⚽,
- 65', Cuesta J. ↓, Cumana Y. ↑,
- 65', Ortiz C. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
- 68', Carrillo D. 🟨,
- 69', 4 - 1, Alegria J. ⚽, Neira E. (A),
- 70', Cumana Y. 🟨,
- 72', 🟨,
- 76', Alegria J. ↓, Londono F. ↑,
- 77', Berrios J. ↓, Lucena A. ↑,
- 77', Del Valle Y. ↓, Robert Hernandez ↑,
- 77', Orozco Y. ↓, Tortolero E. ↑,
- 77', Sole F. ↓, Cermeno C. ↑,
- 77', Zapata J. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carabobo
49.4% | Draw
29.6% | Universidad Central
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carabobo's performance.Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carabobo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carabobo - Universidad Central Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.22) |
3.13 ↓
(3.2) |
4.42 ↑
(3.22) |
7.8%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 1.
- Recent performances by Carabobo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Universidad Central is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Universidad Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Carabobo is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Universidad Central?
Carabobo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Central won against Carabobo?
Universidad Central has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Universidad Central were as follows:
15.03.2025
Universidad Central
-
Carabobo
1:1
28.08.2024
Universidad Central
-
Carabobo
3:1
09.03.2024
Carabobo
-
Universidad Central
0:1
07.07.2023
Carabobo
-
Universidad Central
2:1
05.05.2023
Universidad Central
-
Carabobo
0:0
Latest results of Carabobo
Latest results of Universidad Central
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | La Guaira | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23:7 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Monagas | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Caracas | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Zamora | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | Puerto Cabello | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Universidad Central | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Estudiantes Merida | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Rayo Zuliano | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Anzoategui FC | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | Metropolitanos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Yaracuyanos | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
