Result
2:1
07/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (144/233) | 83% (401/483) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (144/233) | 83% (401/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (30/72) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (33/71) | 73% (105/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (19/26) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 77 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Gonzales C. (A),
- 37', Pretell J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Velasquez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Castro M. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Pacheco F. (A),
- 52', Gonzales C. 🟨,
- 52', Torren M. 🟨,
- 59', Romero D. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
- 59', Rocha Y. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
- 62', Sagredo J. 🟨,
- 69', Sosa L. ↓, Lora J. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Vaca R. ⚽, Sagredo J. (A),
- 76', Pacheco F. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
- 76', Pretell J. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
- 89', Chavez G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sporting Cristal
46.3% | Draw
25.7% | Bolívar
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Sporting Cristal - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.07) |
3.67 ↑
(3.65) |
3.4 ↑
(3.32) |
5.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Bolívar?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Bolívar will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolívar: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 2 - 50%). Bolívar (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Sporting Cristal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sporting Cristal could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
Iberico L.
(Injury)
Pretell J.
(Inactive)
Yotun Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bolívar: Lampe C.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Cauteruccio M.
(Injury)
Gonzalez S.
(Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bolívar: Bruno Savio
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Bolívar?
Sporting Cristal has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Sporting Cristal?
Bolívar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Bolívar were as follows:
09.04.2025
Bolívar
-
Sporting Cristal
3:0
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Latest results of Bolívar
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | 1 : 3, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | LDU Quito | Palmeiras | 0 : 4, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Racing Club | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Flamengo RJ | 0 : 1 |
