Result
1:1
07/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (138/215) | 81% (304/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (138/215) | 81% (304/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (29/66) | 25% (9/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (61/111) | 52% (30/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 3% (1/29) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 59 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Davila E. 🟨,
- 37', Jonathan Jesus 🟨,
- 45+1', Murilo Rhikman 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 0, Orejuela C. ⚽,
- 60', Walace ↓, Romero L. ↑,
- 60', Rodriguinho ↓, Kenji ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽,
- 67', Arce L. 🟨,
- 69', Eduardo ↓, Wanderson ↑,
- 69', Bolasie Y. ↓, Dinenno J. ↑,
- 69', Simisterra R. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 78', Kaua Prates ↓, Fagner ↑,
- 80', Penilla C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa
41.9% | Draw
29.1% | Cruzeiro
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.11) |
3.25 ↓
(3.31) |
3.27 ↓
(3.48) |
6.2%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mushuc Runa: 45.7% – 84.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Mushuc Runa (votes: 3 - 60%). Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mushuc Runa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mushuc Runa might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mushuc Runa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Cruzeiro?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Mushuc Runa?
Cruzeiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro were as follows:
09.04.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Mushuc Runa
1:2
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 11 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Huracan | |
| 13 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 15 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. De Chile | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | U. De Chile | Lanus | 2 : 2 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1 |
Final
