Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Marbellí
58.9% | Draw
26.2% | Mancha Real
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marbellí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marbellí's performance.Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marbellí that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Marbellí - Mancha Real Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.75) |
3.65 ↑
(3.17) |
6.37 ↑
(4.79) |
4.8%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Marbellí has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mancha Real is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Marbellí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marbellí is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marbellí won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Marbellí won against Mancha Real?
Marbellí has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mancha Real won against Marbellí?
Mancha Real has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marbellí - Mancha Real were as follows:
02.11.2025
Mancha Real
-
Marbellí
0:1
12.04.2025
Mancha Real
-
Marbellí
2:3
Latest results of Marbellí
Latest results of Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 42:20 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Motril | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 53:28 | 25 | 61 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 36:24 | 12 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 | Torredonjimeno | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 50 |
| 6 | Churriana de la Vega | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 30:40 | -10 | 49 |
| 7 | Marbelli | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 34:28 | 6 | 48 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 33 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 40:37 | 3 | 46 |
| 10 | Granada CF B | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | Huetor Vega | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 42 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 14 | Martos | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:44 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Mancha | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Huetor Tajar | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:43 | -6 | 34 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 22:44 | -22 | 30 |
| 18 | El Palo | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 28:51 | -23 | 27 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
