Result
4:0
13/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 0.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (424/500) | 68% (123/180) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 0.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (424/500) | 68% (123/180) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (29/50) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (108/151) | 61% (22/36) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (19/22) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Robert Hernandez 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Sepulveda M. ⚽,
- 36', Congo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 62', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 62', Londono F. ↓, Berrios J. ↑,
- 62', Robert Hernandez ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
- 62', Congo J. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Aranguiz C. (Pen),
- 69', Contreras R. ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
- 70', Zaldivia M. 🟨,
- 72', Aranguiz C. ↓, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↑,
- 75', Pernia M. ↓, Guaramato M. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 0, Zaldivia M. ⚽, Guerrero Pena M. G. (A),
- 83', Aponte L. 🟨,
- 85', Fernandez L. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
- 85', Diaz M. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
- 85', Sepulveda M. ↓, Moya F. ↑,
- 90', 4 - 0, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ⚽, Guerra N. (A),
Chances of winning
Universidad de Chile
73.1% | Draw
18.5% | Carabobo
8.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Universidad de Chile - Carabobo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.34) |
5.12 ↑
(4.85) |
11.07 ↑
(9.15) |
5.7%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Carabobo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Universidad de Chile (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Universidad de Chile (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Universidad de Chile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Carabobo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Universidad de Chile is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Universidad de Chile: Aranguiz C.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Carabobo: Martinez L.
(Knee Injury)
Neira E.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Universidad de Chile won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Carabobo?
Universidad de Chile has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Universidad de Chile?
Carabobo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Carabobo were as follows:
22.04.2025
Carabobo
-
Universidad de Chile
1:1
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Latest results of Carabobo
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Coquimbo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Penarol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Lanus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
