Result
2:1 penalties
07/02/2026 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (334/436) | 68% (198/293) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (334/436) | 68% (198/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (13/60) | 44% (25/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (55/100) | 51% (49/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 50% (2/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', Nago S. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Matsumoto M. ⚽, Ogura K. (A),
- 45+2', Kimura T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Ichimi K. 🟨,
- 63', Ichimi K. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 69', Okuno K. ↓, Maeda K. ↑,
- 69', Shigemi M. ↓, Sato S. ↑,
- 69', Usui S. ↓, Michiwaki Y. ↑,
- 75', Matsumoto M. ↓, Yamane T. ↑,
- 76', Kimura T. ↓, Kawano K. ↑,
- 76', Fujita I. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Maeda K. ⚽,
- 80', Esaka A. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
- 80', Fujita I. ↓, Miyamoto E. ↑,
- 83', Nago S. ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
- 90', Miki T. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
- Penalties (6 - 5)
- 1, Hashimoto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Kawano K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Kitajima Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Werik Popo (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Kamijima T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Yamane T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Maeda K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Fujii K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Zahedi S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Miyamoto E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Sato S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Ogura K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Maejima Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Kudo K. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka
46.3% | Draw
31.4% | Fagiano Okayama
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.18) |
2.99 ↑
(2.97) |
4.19 ↑
(3.82) |
6.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Okayama (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Avispa Fukuoka will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Avispa Fukuoka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 3 - 75%). Okayama (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
- Avispa Fukuoka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Okayama: Kamiya Yuta
(Injury)
Nishikawa J.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Fagiano Okayama?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
15.06.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
25.04.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Fagiano Okayama
1:1
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
