Result
1:2
22/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (527/612) | 70% (195/279) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (527/612) | 70% (195/279) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (22/49) | 25% (15/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (169/217) | 58% (56/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 83% (19/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', 1 - 0, Minamino H. ⚽, Yamashita R. (A),
- 23', Miya D. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Michiwaki Y. ⚽,
- 45+5', 1 - 2, Fujimoto K. ⚽, Hashimoto Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Michiwaki Y. 🟨,
- 61', Kitajima Y. 🟨,
- 62', Jebali I. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
- 62', Abe S. ↓, Hummet D. ↑,
- 62', Kishimoto T. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
- 62', Miya D. ↓, Tsujioka Y. ↑,
- 62', Usui S. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
- 63', Kamijima T. ↓, Tashiro M. ↑,
- 71', Nakano S. ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
- 71', Kitajima Y. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
- 79', Fujimoto K. 🟨,
- 80', Okunuki K. 🟨,
- 81', Fujimoto K. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
- 81', Minamino H. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka
49.9% | Draw
27.8% | Avispa Fukuoka
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gamba Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Gamba Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.75) |
3.36 ↓
(3.69) |
4.21 ↓
(4.62) |
6.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Gamba Osaka will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Avispa Fukuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Gamba Osaka is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Fukuoka S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ichimori J.
(Finger Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Handa R.
(Injury)
Sasaki S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Maejima Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Gamba Osaka?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
21.03.2026
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Gamba Osaka
3:2
30.11.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Gamba Osaka
1:0
22.02.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
24.08.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:2
03.05.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Gamba Osaka
1:0
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
