Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer  USL League One Cup Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic
28/06/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.61
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
69
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
82% (338/412)84% (380/454)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.710.66
Total shots
69
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
82% (338/412)84% (380/454)
Long passes
40% (26/65)52% (22/42)
Passes in final third
54% (30/56)72% (101/140)
Crosses
67% (2/3)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.47
Throw-ins
2224
Fouls
1415
Tackles
92% (12/13)87% (13/15)
Duels won
4647
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.660.71
Goals prevented
0.66-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Spaulding R. 🟨,
  • 18', Kone C. 🟨,
  • 32', Benitez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Spaulding R. , Wanner D. ,
  • 50', Parano C. 🟨,
  • 50', Scott K. 🟨,
  • 58', Kone C. , Zubak E. ,
  • 58', Scott K. , Kelly S. ,
  • 58', Sylla O. , Karam G. ,
  • 66', Lopez R. , Herrera J. ,
  • 68', Wanner D. 🟨,
  • 76', Jamison B. , Barjolo B. ,
  • 77', Herrera J. 🟨,
  • 84', Brewitt T. 🟨,
  • 86', MacKinnon L. , Hegardt C. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Guimaraes P. , Zubak E. (A),

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
22.6%
Draw
22.7%
Sacramento Republic
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 24.9% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7% 24.5% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (3.62)
    4.12
    (3.65)
    1.71
    (1.82)
    6.9%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    20.04.2024 Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic 0:2
    09.03.2024 Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC 2:2
    26.08.2023 Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC 0:2
    17.05.2023 Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic 1:0
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
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