Orange County SC vs Indy Eleven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Osmanovic E. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.60
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
83% (359/435)76% (251/330)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.38
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1926
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
2216
Passes
83% (359/435)76% (251/330)
Long passes
38% (26/69)42% (28/66)
Passes in final third
59% (57/96)64% (87/136)
Crosses
22% (2/9)23% (8/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.761.37
Throw-ins
1816
Fouls
1622
Tackles
83% (5/6)86% (12/14)
Duels won
5854
Clearances
2717
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.381.24
Goals prevented
-0.62-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Latinovich V. , Hegardt C. (A),
  • 36', 1 - 1, Williams R. , Quinn A. (A),
  • 45+3', Williams R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Blake J. 🟨,
  • 67', Murphy J. , Amoh E. ,
  • 69', Trager T. , Sylla O. ,
  • 69', Partida K. , War M. ,
  • 72', Ofeimu B. 🟨,
  • 80', Latinovich V. 🟨,
  • 81', Hegardt C. , Miles A. ,
  • 85', Musa J. , White H. ,
  • 85', Williams R. , Kizza E. ,
  • 90', Jamison B. , Dunbar C. ,
  • 90', Zubak E. , Kone C. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Sylla O. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
44.7%
Draw
26.4%
Indy Eleven
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 25.5% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 26.5% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Orange County SC - Indy Eleven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.02)
    3.54
    (3.65)
    3.24
    (3.3)
    7.1%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Orange County SC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Orange County SC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Orange County SC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Indy Eleven were as follows:
    22.06.2024 Indy Eleven - Orange County SC 0:1
    15.04.2023 Orange County SC - Indy Eleven 1:0
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso842219:14514
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7FC Tulsa833211:9212
    8Colorado Springs723215:1329
    9Las Vegas Lights822413:16-38
    10New Mexico62137:10-37
    11Lexington81347:10-36
    12Monterey Bay80264:15-112

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)