Orange County SC vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Cup
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.541.20
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
517
Shots on target
44
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
18
Passes
80% (280/349)88% (438/499)
Yellow cards
30
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.541.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.910.56
Total shots
517
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
17
Blocked shots
06
Shots inside the box
37
Shots outside the box
210
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
1130
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1712
Passes
80% (280/349)88% (438/499)
Long passes
53% (29/55)53% (28/53)
Passes in final third
56% (36/64)78% (123/158)
Crosses
10% (1/10)26% (10/38)
Expected assists (xA)
0.212.38
Throw ins
2113
Fouls
1217
Tackles
55% (6/11)86% (12/14)
Duels won
3541
Clearances
2920
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.560.91
Goals prevented
-1.44-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Marinch A. 🟨,
  • 45', Farkarlun B. , Mendez A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Doody G. ,
  • 57', Marinch A. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Tony Alfaro ,
  • 65', Abitia D. , Rubin R. ,
  • 65', Sainte C. F. , Coronado R. ,
  • 68', Sylla O. , MacKinnon L. ,
  • 68', Palomino M. , Kelly S. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Coronado R. , Rubin R. (A),
  • 79', Johnson J. , Bazini Y. ,
  • 82', Gomez D. , Ortiz A. ,
  • 87', Doody G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
39.1%
Draw
28.3%
El Paso Locomotive
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 27.2% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 28% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.18)
    3.2
    (3.3)
    2.77
    (2.85)
    10.7%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive 0:0
    14.06.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Orange County SC 0:3
    16.10.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Orange County SC 0:2
    17.08.2024 Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive 0:1
    21.10.2023 Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive 1:0
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive