Loudoun United vs Lexington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
10/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.41
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
86% (366/426)86% (309/360)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.670.77
Total shots
146
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
86% (366/426)86% (309/360)
Long passes
55% (31/56)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
72% (89/124)70% (42/60)
Crosses
36% (5/14)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.27
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
1216
Tackles
100% (16/16)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4138
Clearances
718
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.772.67
Goals prevented
-0.23-2.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Epps M. ,
  • 25', Mines B. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Valot F. , Santos P. (A),
  • 42', Adedokun M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Turner C. , Awuah K. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Tingey K. (Pen),
  • 56', Adedokun M. 🟨,
  • 59', 3 - 1, Aboukoura A. , Valot F. (A),
  • 63', Djeffal S. , Nick Firmino ,
  • 64', Goldthorp E. , Gilbert G. ,
  • 64', Bidois R. , Ryan Z. ,
  • 69', Mines B. , Skundrich D. ,
  • 73', Lancaster C. , Mbongue H. ,
  • 76', 4 - 1, Awuah K. , Ryan Z. (A),
  • 84', McCabe T. , Pendleton E. ,
  • 84', Leggett W. , Nagy A. ,
  • 87', 5 - 1, Ryan Z. , Nagy A. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Loudoun United
53.8%
Draw
23.8%
Lexington
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 26.4% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 25.9% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Loudoun United - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.7)
    3.9
    (3.5)
    4.14
    (4.81)
    7.9%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Loudoun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lexington's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Loudoun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Loudoun has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Loudoun is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Loudoun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Lexington were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Lexington - Loudoun United 0:1
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City330010:469
    2Hartford Athletic32105:147
    3Tampa Bay22004:046
    4Charleston22005:326
    5Detroit21014:223
    6Indy Eleven21012:203
    7Pittsburgh31024:7-33
    8Brooklyn31022:5-33
    9Loudoun20112:3-11
    10Rhode Island20113:5-21
    11Birmingham30122:4-21
    12Miami FC20111:4-31
    13Sporting Jax20111:4-31


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oakland Roots32105:327
    2San Antonio32103:127
    3Sacramento Republic31203:125
    4Orange County SC31203:215
    5El Paso21105:234
    6Colorado Springs31115:504
    7FC Tulsa31113:4-14
    8Phoenix Rising30214:5-12
    9Lexington20111:2-11
    10Las Vegas Lights30125:7-21
    11Monterey Bay30121:5-41
    12New Mexico20021:3-20

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)