Result
3:1
10/10/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (424/515) | 76% (285/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (424/515) | 76% (285/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (34/72) | 27% (15/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (104/147) | 62% (69/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (10/25) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (17/21) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', Vinberg S. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Tekiela K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Varela W. ↓, Reilly M. ↑,
- 46', Brown J. ↓, Bull ↑,
- 46', Calixtro G. ↓, Zarokostas S. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 0, Zarokostas S. ⚽,
- 62', 2 - 1, Keegan J. ⚽,
- 64', Wright S. ↓, Mohamed M. ↑,
- 70', Poon-Angeron M. ↓, Kvifte N. H. ↑,
- 76', Haugli S. 🟨,
- 78', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 78', Rosamilia N. ↓, Doyle M. ↑,
- 79', Johnson C. ↓, Kelly-Rosales A. ↑,
- 85', Tekiela K. ↓, Goling M. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Diene B. ⚽, Kelly-Rosales A. (A),
- 90', Doyle M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Wada M. ↓, Hersi K. ↑,
Chances of winning
One Knoxville
47.9% | Draw
28.1% | Portland Hearts of Pine
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.85) |
3.27 ↓
(3.3) |
3.83 ↑
(3.82) |
8.7%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
- One Knoxville is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hearts of Pine has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- One Knoxville could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has One Knoxville won against Portland Hearts of Pine?
One Knoxville has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Hearts of Pine won against One Knoxville?
Portland Hearts of Pine has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine were as follows:
02.08.2025
One Knoxville
-
Portland Hearts of Pine
1:0
04.05.2025
Portland Hearts of Pine
-
One Knoxville
1:1
Latest results of One Knoxville
Latest results of Portland Hearts of Pine
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | One Knoxville (1) | Charlotte Independ. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | FC Naples (4) | Union Omaha (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Spokane Velocity (3) | Tormenta (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga Red Wolves (2) | Portland Hearts of Pine (7) | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | One Knoxville (1) | FC Naples (4) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity (3) | Portland Hearts of Pine (7) | 3 : 2 |
Final| 1 | One Knoxville (1) | Spokane Velocity (3) | |
