Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama
04/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
37%
Draw
29.2%
Fagiano Okayama
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 28.9% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 29.7% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.58)
    3.28
    (3.31)
    2.83
    (2.83)
    4.6%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
    • Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Albirex Niigata 2:1
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Vissel Kobe32186843:271660
    3Kyoto31168754:332156
    4Kashiwa Reysol311511543:291456
    5Machida32167948:331555
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima32167937:221555
    7Kawasaki Frontale31149855:401551
    8Urawa Reds321310939:32749
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3111101048:45343
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3210101234:38-440
    12Okayama321171428:34-640
    13FC Tokyo311171333:42-940
    14Avispa Fukuoka329101331:37-637
    15Nagoya Grampus32991438:47-936
    16Verdy32991420:35-1536
    17Yokohama F. Marinos31771729:41-1228
    18Yokohama FC31771720:36-1628
    19Shonan Bellmare31671828:55-2725
    20Albirex Niigata32491929:54-2521

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League