Result
0:3
24/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (365/444) | 80% (254/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (365/444) | 80% (254/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (18/35) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (79/119) | 56% (42/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 100% (11/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Teran C. ↓, Leo ↑,
- 45+2', Luiz Filipe 🟨,
- 45+2', Arthur Dias 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Viveros K. ⚽, Luiz Fernando (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 56', Sidimar 🟨,
- 56', Viveros K. 🟨,
- 59', Sandry 🟨,
- 64', Zapelli B. ↓, Felipinho ↑,
- 65', Luiz Fernando ↓, Julimar ↑,
- 66', Marcelo Ajul 🟨,
- 77', 0 - 2, Julimar (Pen),
- 78', Welinton Torrao ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
- 78', Sandry ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
- 80', Luiz Filipe ↓, Kauan Lindes ↑,
- 86', Da Cruz A. ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
- 87', Marcelo Ajul ↓, Indio G. ↑,
- 88', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 88', Esquivel L. ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 3, Leozinho ⚽,
- 90+6', Douglas Pele 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletic Club
25.5% | Draw
30.8% | Athletico Paranaense
43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Club's form might have worsened.Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletico Paranaense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Club, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Athletic Club - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.66 ↑
(2.75) |
3.04 ↓
(3.05) |
2.18 ↓
(2.6) |
6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Athletico Paranaense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 1 - 50%). Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Athletico Paranaense will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5).
- Athletic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Athletico PR is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Athletico PR might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Athletic: Adriel
(Yellow Cards)
Alex Nascimento
(Red Card)
Edson Miranda
(Inactive)
Jhonatan Silva
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Miguel
(Injury)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Belezi
(Inactive)
Isaac
(Inactive)
Joao Cruz
(Inactive)
Mendoza S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Chico Geraldes
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Viveros K.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Athletico Paranaense?
Athletic Club has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Athletic Club?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
24.05.2025
Athletico Paranaense
-
Athletic Club
1:0
Latest results of Athletic Club
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
